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Twins vs. Astros Predictions, Odds & Picks – ALDS Game 3

Oct 4, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Sonny Gray (54) throws a pitch in the first inning against the Toronto Blue Jays during game two of the Wildcard series for the 2023 MLB playoffs at Target Field.
Image Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros (90-72), who topped the AL West during the regular season, are set to face off against the Minnesota Twins (87-75), the leaders of the AL Central during the regular season. The Twins are hosting the Astros in ALDS Game 3 with the series currently tied.

How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Twins vs. Astros predictions, odds, and picks below.

Twins vs. Astros Odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota Twins -130 (PointsBet) / Houston Astros +118 (FanDuel)
  • Total: 8

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Oct. 10
  • Time: 4:07 PM ET
  • Location: Target Field – Minneapolis, MN
  • TV: FOX

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have won 4 of their last 5 games. They have a win-loss record of 90-72 this season, with a win percentage of 0.556. As the underdog, the Astros have 28 wins and 15 losses this season.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have won 3 of their last 5 games. They have a win-loss record of 87-75 this season, with a win percentage of 0.537. As the favorite, the Twins have 67 wins and 45 losses this season.

Twins vs. Astros Predictions

The Astros are sending Cristian Javier to the mound, who has a win-loss record of 10-5 this season with an ERA of 4.56. Javier has started 31 games this season, with the Astros winning 21 of those games.

On the other hand, the Twins are starting Sonny Gray, who has a win-loss record of 8-8 with an ERA of 2.79. Gray has started 32 games this season, with the Twins winning 14 of those games.

The Astros’ offense has been strong this season, ranking 5th in runs with 827 and 3rd in hits with 1441. Their batting average is .259, which ranks 5th in the league. The Twins’ offense, on the other hand, ranks 10th in runs with 778 and 19th in hits with 1335. Their batting average is .243, which ranks 21st in the league.

Both teams have star players who have been performing well this season. For the Astros, Kyle Tucker has a batting average of .284 and has hit 29 home runs. For the Twins, Max Kepler has a batting average of .260 and has hit 24 home runs.

Twins vs. Astros Picks

Given the pitching matchup and the recent form of both teams, the under seems to be the best value pick for this game. The Twins’ Sonny Gray has a significantly lower ERA than the Astros’ Cristian Javier, and both teams have strong defenses.

Additionally, the Astros’ offense, while strong, may struggle against Gray’s pitching. Therefore, the under seems to be the best value pick for this game.

The Pick: Under 8 (Bet365)

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