Each weekday, Props.com selects five intriguing players and/or team NBA props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes.
Props.com compared the top platforms to find that DraftKings Sportsbook has the most robust offerings for NBA Props. They also have a generous welcome offer for new members (see below).
With that, let’s dive into our top NBA Props for Tuesday’s 12-game slate.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook updated as of noon ET on April 5.
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Philadelphia 76ers: PG Tyrese Maxey
The prop: 3.5 assists (at Indiana)
The odds: Over +100/Under -135
Maxey has had a breakout season for the 76ers, and he’s managed to retain a sizeable role despite the addition of James Harden. He has hit a bit of a snag recently, racking up three assists or fewer in four of his past six games, but there are reasons to believe in a bounce-back on Tuesday.
For starters, Maxey is still playing massive minutes. His playing time has been a bit down of late, but there have been extenuating circumstances. He struggled with foul trouble in his last outing, and the 76ers won by 30 two games ago. He should return to his usual 36+ minutes on Tuesday, and Maxey has averaged 4.3 assists per 36 minutes this season.
Additionally, the matchup vs. the Pacers is also fantastic. They rank just 28th in defensive efficiency, and the 76ers implied team total of 122.75 ranks third on the slate. Overall, this is an excellent buy-low opportunity.
Cleveland Cavaliers: SG Caris LeVert
The prop: 4.5 assists (at Orlando)
The odds: Over +115/Under -155
LeVert is another player I’m looking to back as a distributor. The big selling point for LeVert is that his playing time is way up recently. He missed significant time with the Cavs due to an injury, and he was limited when he first returned to the lineup. However, he’s racked up at least 36 minutes in four of his past six games, and this number is simply too low if LeVert is going to continue to play that much. He’s racked up at least six dimes in back-to-back games, and he’s averaged 5.0 assists per 36 minutes this season. I will gladly roll the dice on the over at better than even money.
Brooklyn Nets: PG Kyrie Irving
The prop: 26.5 points (vs. Houston)
The odds: Over -105/Under -120
In my five-plus years writing about NBA betting and fantasy, I have never seen a team implied for as many points as the Nets are on Tuesday. They’re taking the court as 17-point home favorites in a game with a 244.5-point total. That means the oddsmakers are putting the Nets’ scoring potential at just over 130 points. That is absurd!
With the team expected to do that much damage offensively, I love the idea of taking the over on Irving’s scoring prop. The Nets are going to have to do everything possible down the stretch to improve their playoff chances, which means Irving and Kevin Durant are going to have to log massive minutes. Irving has racked up at least 44.5 minutes in back-to-back games, the second of which ended in regulation.
Irving racked up 31 points in his last outing, and the best part is, he didn’t even shoot the ball well. He was just 37.5 percent from the field and didn’t make a single free throw, and Durant finished with 55 points of his own. That means there are plenty of reasons to believe that Irving could actually improve his scoring output in this contest. There’s a chance that Irving could spend the end of this game on the bench if it turns into a blowout, but that would only happen if Irving and Durant dominate in the first three quarters. Overall, this number is at least a couple of points too low.
Houston Rockets: SG Jalen Green
The prop: 24.5 points (at Brooklyn)
The odds: Over -105/Under -120
Green has taken some massive steps forward for the Rockets recently. He started the year as an extremely inefficient scorer, but he’s shot 48.4% from the field and 45.8% from 3-point range over his past six games. He’s averaged a stout 29.0 points per game over that stretch, and he’s scored at least 30 points in four straight.
While that’s obviously a great sign for Green’s future, I don’t believe it’s sustainable. Green is shooting just 42.1 percent from the field and 34.3 percent from 3-point range this season, and those numbers were obviously lower before his recent outburst. He’s also feasted on a host of exploitable defenses during his hot streak, torching the Blazers twice, Kings twice, Spurs, and Timberwolves. While the Nets are certainly not a defensive juggernaut, they do represent a slight step up in weight class. I’m looking to sell high in this spot.
Utah Jazz: C Rudy Gobert
The prop: 14.5 points (vs. Memphis)
The odds: Over +100/Under -130
Gobert has his limitations as a player, but he dominates in the areas where he excels. He’s on track to lead the league in field goal percentage for the third time in the past four years thanks to a career-high mark of 70.9 percent. The degree of difficulty on those shots isn’t particularly impressive – almost 74 percent of his shots come from within three feet of the rim – but he’s still one of the best in the business at finishing from in close.
Overall, Gobert has averaged 15.3 points per game this season, and he’s scored at least 15 points in exactly 50 percent of his outings. I like his chances of doing it again on Tuesday against the Grizzlies, who have played at the third-fastest pace over their past 10 games.
The Jazz are also locked in a battle for the final guaranteed playoff spot in the Western Conference, and their lead over the Timberwolves could fall to just 0.5 games if they lose on Tuesday. That means they will take this contest very seriously, which is another point in Gobert’s favor.
