For each week of the NFL season, we provide the best Travis Kelce prop bets. his next game is Saturday, January 13 against the Miami Dolphins.
Best Travis Kelce Player Props Bets vs. Dolphins
As the Kansas City Chiefs host the Miami Dolphins in a frigid AFC Wild Card matchup, all eyes will be on star tight end Travis Kelce. Despite the Chiefs’ offense not being as explosive as in previous years, Kelce remains a key weapon for Patrick Mahomes, especially in high-stakes games. With cold weather potentially impacting the passing game, Kelce’s reliability and ability to make crucial catches could be a deciding factor in this playoff clash.
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Travis Kelce Over 5.5 Receiving – Receptions (-115)
Travis Kelce’s receptions prop at 5.5 is a strong candidate for the over, given his consistent performance throughout the season and his critical role in the Chiefs’ offense. Kelce has averaged 6.2 receptions per game this season, hitting the over on this prop 60% of the time. Moreover, in the last 20 games, his average slightly increases to 6.65 receptions, with a 70% hit rate for the over. This demonstrates his reliability as Mahomes’ go-to target, particularly in high-pressure situations like the playoffs. Additionally, Kelce’s performance at home has been even more impressive, with an average of 6.5 receptions and a 62.5% hit rate for the over, indicating that Arrowhead Stadium provides a conducive environment for his success.
Travis Kelce Over 55.5 Receiving – Yards (-115)
The receiving yards prop for Travis Kelce is set at 55.5, and there’s a strong case for the over here as well. Kelce’s season average for receiving yards stands at 65.6, comfortably above the line, and he’s surpassed this mark in 60% of games this season. His last 10 games’ average of 63.8 yards also supports the trend of him going over the prop. While his performance in the last five games shows a slight dip, averaging 50.4 yards, it’s important to consider the potential game script. With cold weather expected, the Chiefs may rely more on short and intermediate routes, where Kelce excels. His ability to gain yards after the catch could be crucial in racking up receiving yards, making the over a compelling pick.
All Travis Kelce Player Props for Saturday, Jan 13
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection | Our Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | Receptions | 5.5 | 5/10 | -115 | -115 | 5.7 | 6.19 | Over |
| Travis Kelce | Receiving Yards | 55.5 | 5/10 | -115 | -115 | 63.8 | 61.20 | Over |
| Travis Kelce | Longest Game | 19.5 | 5/10 | -110 | -120 | 21.4 | 22.22 | Over |
Travis Kelce Stats for the 2023/24 NFL Season
- Receiving Receptions Per Game
- Season: 6.2
- Home: 6.5
- vs. Miami: 3.0
- Receiving Longest Gain Per Game
- Season: 21.13
- Home: 24.25
- vs. Miami: 7.0
- Receiving Yards Per Game
- Season: 65.6
- Home: 71.62
- vs. Miami: 14.0
Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 13
- Time: 08:00 PM
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
- TV: Peacock
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