The Bengals and Ravens will meet for the third time this season and the second time in as many weeks. Cincinnati handled their business last week, and the Ravens rested many regulars. Nevertheless, Baltimore’s significantly outgunned since Lamar Jackson is hurt. So even though Cinci’s a significant favorite, gamblers shouldn’t discount some of their wide receivers’ overs. In fact, two are enticing. Meanwhile, the undesirable quarterback situation for the Ravens is favorable for an under for one of their wideouts.
Bengals vs. Ravens Player Props: Super Wild Card Sunday
For a full list of Bengals vs. Ravens player props and odds, check out our dedicated page for NFL player props.
Ja’Marr Chase Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Ja’Marr Chase has had Baltimore’s number. The sophomore wideout has faced them four times in his career and had 201, 125, 50, and 86 receiving yards. Thus, he went over 76.5 receiving yards three times, including posting 86 against them last week. Obviously, that’s a great starting point for taking Chase’s over.
Cincinnati’s offensive tendencies and Chase’s usage are also plusses for his production outlook. First, according to numberFire, the Bengals have attempted 71 rushes by non-quarterbacks and 137 passes in neutral game scripts since Week 12. Second, Chase has been Cinci’s top pass-catching weapon since he returned from his hip injury in Week 13. He’s had a 25.2% Target Share and hauled in 8.0 receptions per game for 88.2 receiving yards since his return.
In addition, Chase has had more than 76.5 receiving yards four times in five games since he came back from his injury. The matchup is good, too. According to Football Outsiders, No. 1 wide receivers have averaged the seventh-most receiving yards per game (74.3) this year. The Ravens have also given far more through the air than on the ground. Since Week 12, they’re second in rush defense DVOA and 21st in pass defense DVOA. Thus, even though the Bengals are sizable favorites, they’ll likely take to the air often, giving Chase a good chance at eclipsing 76.5 receiving yards in a good matchup.
Where to bet: Ja’Marr Chase Over 76.5 Receiving Yards | -114 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Tyler Boyd Over 3.5 Receptions (+120)
Tyler Boyd isn’t always heavily involved in Cincinnati’s passing attack since Chase and Tee Higgins are target hogs. Hayden Hurst and Joe Mixon are viable ancillary pieces to compete with Boyd for looks, too. Still, he had five receptions against the Ravens last week.
Further, according to The 33rd Team and data from Sports Info Solutions, Zay Jones, Amari Cooper, Drake London, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Boyd all had more than 3.5 receptions from the slot against the Ravens since Week 12, with 8, 4, 6, 4, and 5, respectively.
The recent production from the slot against the Ravens was encouraging for Boyd’s chances of catching more than 3.5 passes this week. Additionally, the Bengals’ pass-heavy tendencies and Baltimore’s leaky secondary are ideal. Boyd could also theoretically see an uptick in targets to keep Joe Burrow upright.
La’el Collins was injured a few weeks ago, and Alex Cappa was injured last week. The absences might prompt Burrow to take a few shorter, higher-percentage shots to Boyd. Regardless, Boyd had five receptions last week against them, making plus money on his over an appealing wager without factoring in Cappa getting hurt last week. Thus, I’ll take the tasty line for Boyd’s over on 3.5 receptions.
Where to bet: Tyler Boyd Over 3.5 Receptions | +120 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Demarcus Robinson Under 27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Lamar Jackson is out. Tyler Huntley progressed to a full practice on Friday and is listed as questionable. Presumably, Huntley will play, but he is less than 100%. Even at full strength, Huntley’s a below-average quarterback. He passed for a season-high 187 yards in relief of Jackson in Week 13 and hasn’t cleared 140 since. Yikes.
The lack of passing yards is a nightmare for all of Baltimore’s wide receivers’ production. Demarcus Robinson hasn’t been immune to the passing game’s shortcomings. He had 6, 9, and 24 receiving yards in his final three games in the regular season.
According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Robinson ran 32 routes last week, the most among Baltimore’s wide receivers. Yet, he inefficiently turned nine targets into two receptions for 24 yards. Sammy Watkins was more productive, and Baltimore’s tight ends are their best passing-game options. That leaves Robinson in a low-volume spot low in the receiving hierarchy in a pathetic passing attack. The Ravens are asking too much from the veteran wideout, and his production has suffered as a result. So, Robinson’s under for 27.5 receiving yards is an exciting bet.
Where to bet: Demarcus Robinson Under 27.5 Receiving Yards | -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook