Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Monday, Mar 4

Jan 17, 2024; Portland, Oregon, USA; Portland Trail Blazers guard Anfernee Simons (1), left, and Brooklyn Nets forward Mikal Bridges (1) laugh while visiting each other during warm ups before a game at Moda Center.
Image Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

The Timberwolves are set to face the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday, Mar 4. The game is scheduled for 8:00 ET while airing on BSN. Minnesota enters this game as 14-point favorites with the total set at 210.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers predictions below.

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves -14
  • Total 210.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Mar 4
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
  • TV: BSN

Trail Blazers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Portland has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 108 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 124 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 4-6.

Do the Trail Blazers Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

In their last two games, the Trail Blazers have won straight up and against the spread. As the underdog, they have covered the spread in each of their last two games.

Portland’s O/U record for the season is 26-32-1. Today’s over/under line of 210.5 is lower than the average O/U line of 225.1 in their games this season.

Going into today’s game, the Trail Blazers are 16-37 as the underdog. On the road, they have an ATS record of 16-14 and have covered the spread in four straight games on the road.

Currently, the Trail Blazers are 14th in the Western Conference with a record of 17-42. In the Northwest Division, they are 5th.

Portland’s most recent game was a 107-100 win over the Grizzlies. They were 2.5-point underdogs heading into the game. The combined scoring in the game was 207 points, and the O/U line was 210.

One of the biggest struggles for the Blazers this season has been their three-point shooting. They are shooting just 34% from beyond the arc, which is 27th in the NBA. Overall, they are 29th in scoring at 107.5 points per game.

When it comes to two-point shooting, Portland is just 30th in the league at 49%. They have been one of the more aggressive teams in terms of getting to the free-throw line, averaging 21.8 attempts per game (17th).

Despite their struggles on offense, the Blazers have been one of the better offensive rebounding teams in the NBA, ranking 5th in offensive boards. In terms of pace, they are 20th in the league at 97.9 possessions per game.

Portland’s defense is currently in line with the NBA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 115.6 points per game. The Portland defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.0% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Portland.

Does Minnesota Have What it Takes at Home?

In their games this season, the Timberwolves have an average over/under line of 222.4, which is higher than today’s line of 210.5. Minnesota has a 30-31 O/U record this season, and their games have averaged 219.6 points.

Minnesota’s last game finished with a combined scoring total of 177 points, which was well below the O/U line of 219.5. The Timberwolves lost the game to the Clippers by a score of 89-88.

Minnesota is currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 42-19. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-10 and 8-2 in their division. On the road, the Timberwolves are 20-11 compared to 22-8 at home.

Despite being favored by 2.5 points in their last game, the Timberwolves did not cover the spread. This was their 4th straight ATS loss at home and their 4th straight ATS loss overall. As the favorite this season, Minnesota is 36-14 and 23-26 ATS.

Minnesota comes into this game ranked 20th in the NBA in scoring at 113.2 points per game. However, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 115.0 points compared to 111.5 at home.

When it comes to pace, the Timberwolves are 25th in the league at 97.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 9th overall at 48%.

Minnesota has been one of the better three-point shooting teams in the NBA this season, connecting on 38% of their attempts (2nd). They are also 9th in free throw attempts and 9th in made free throws.

The Timberwolves’ defense is presently ranked 1st in the league, allowing an average of 106.3 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 50.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.0% of their three-point attempts.

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Anfernee Simons and his points prop of 20.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -115 while the under is at -111. Our model predicts that Anfernee Simons will finish the game going 8/17 from the field and scoring 22 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -115.

  • The Prop: Anfernee Simons Over 20.5 Points (-115)

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Predictions

In this Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Trail Blazers at +14. While we project the Timberwolves to win 116-103, our recommendation is to bet on the Trail Blazers for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 210.5, and our model projects the Trail Blazers and Timberwolves to reach a combined total of 219 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

The Pick: Trail Blazers +14 | at Fanduel Sportsbook