The Thunder are all set to face off against the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday, May 7. Today’s game is slated to tip off at 9:30 ET and will be shown on TNT. Oklahoma City enters this contest as 3.5-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 218. Can the Mavericks come out on top as the favorite? Our Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions can be found below.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds
- Spread: Thunder -3.5
- Total 218
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Top Sportsbooks in Ohio
Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, May 7
- Time: 9:30 ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
- TV: TNT
Mavericks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- The Mavericks are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
- As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Thunder Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Although Oklahoma City has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 107 points per game in these games.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic combined for 58 points, as the Mavericks picked up a 114-101 win over the Clippers. Dallas closed out the series in six games, taking the series 4-2. The Mavericks were able to close out the series at home.
With the combined points totaling 215, the game went over the over/under line of 209. Dallas hit 12 threes on 33.3% shooting, while the Clippers hit eight threes on 25% shooting. Kyrie Irving led the Mavericks with 30 points, while Luka Doncic added 28 points and 13 assists.
After picking up a 97-89 win in their last game, the Thunder closed out their series vs. the Pelicans, winning the series 4-0. The Thunder picked up the win on the road, and they were able to close out the series in just four games. Heading into the game, the over/under line was set at 208.5 points, and the teams were able to stay under that line.
Offensively, the Thunder were led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who finished with 24 points and 10 rebounds. Jalen Williams also added 24 points, and he connected on two threes. As a team, the Thunder hit 12 threes and shot 30% from beyond the arc.
Does Dallas Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Clippers by a score of 114-101. The O/U line for the game was 209.5 points, and Dallas covered the spread as 8-point favorites.
Today, the Mavericks are looking to extend their win streak to three games. They are currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 50-32.
Dallas has an ATS record of 52-36 for the season, including a 29-15 mark on the road. As underdogs, their ATS record is 16-16 (vs. 13-19 straight-up as underdogs), and they have covered the spread in two straight games on the road.
For the season, the Mavericks have gone 40-48 on the O/U, and the over has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 231.7 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 218.
Overall, the Mavericks are 19-11 in non-conference games and 31-21 against Western Conference opponents.
Luka Doncic is averaging 29.2 points per game in his last five games to go along with 10.2 assists and 8 rebounds. His season average for made threes is 4.1, but he has hit just 21.8% of his threes in his last five games. Over his last five games, P.J. Washington is averaging 10.8 points and 5 rebounds. For the season, he is at 12.9 points and 5.6 rebounds.
Dallas is 3rd in the league in both three-point attempts and makes this season, averaging 39.5 attempts and 14.6 makes per game. Overall, they are 15th in three-point shooting percentage, at 36%. For the season, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game and 116.2 points per game on the road.
On the defensive end, the Mavericks have been a middle-of-the-pack unit this season, allowing 114.6 points per game (18th). However, over their last five games, they have been even stingier, giving up just 98.6 points per contest (4th).
For the season, opponents have shot 47.3% from the field against Dallas (18th), including 36.8% from beyond the arc (18th). Over their last five games, they have held opponents to just 43.1% shooting overall (3rd).
One area where the Mavericks have struggled this season is on the glass, as they rank just 20th in rebounds per game. In terms of steals, they are 24th in the league at 6.9 per contest.
Can the Oklahoma City Offense Score Enough at Home?
Today, the Thunder are looking to extend their win streak to 10 games as they host the Mavericks. In the Western Conference, Oklahoma City is in 1st place with a record of 57-25.
At home, the Thunder have a scoring differential of +13.1 points per game. Their ATS record at home is 28-15, and they are 35-8 straight-up. As the favorite, the Thunder are 51-14 this season, and they have covered the spread in three straight games.
Oklahoma City’s last game was a 97-89 win over the Pelicans. They were favored by 4.5 points in that game and have now won three straight ATS. The O/U line for that game was 208.5 points.
This season, the Thunder have been favored in 65 of their 82 games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 38-27, and they have gone 10-11 straight-up as the favorite. The average scoring line in their games is 231 points.
In non-conference games, the Thunder have a record of 21-9 and are 36-16 against Western Conference opponents. Their O/U record for the season is 45-40-1, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games on a shooting percentage of 47.4%. In these games, he averaged 5.2 assists and 5 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 30.1 points, 6.2 assists and 5.5 rebounds. Jalen Williams is averaging 18.8 points per game over his last five games and 19.1 points for the season.
Overall, the Thunder are averaging 120.1 points per game this season, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Their home scoring average of 122.5 points per game is the 2nd best mark in the league. Oklahoma City leads the league in three-point shooting at 38% and is 2nd in field goal percentage at 49%.
When it comes to the defensive side of the ball, the Thunder have been one of the best units in the league this season. They come into tonight’s game allowing just 111.6 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up only 88.8 points per contest.
One area where Oklahoma City has excelled this season is in the steals and blocked shots department. They currently lead the league in both categories, averaging 8.5 steals and 6.6 blocks per game. Their ability to create turnovers and protect the rim has been a big reason for their success.
Throughout the season, opponents have shot just 45.3% from the field against the Thunder, which is 3rd in the NBA. They have also been excellent at defending the two-point shot, allowing just 51.9% shooting inside the arc.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -109 while the under is at -125. Our model predicts that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will finish the game going 11/21 from the field and scoring 32 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -109.
- The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 Points (-109)
Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +3.5, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 218 and given that our model is projecting 235 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Mavericks +3.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook