Lightning vs. Avalanche Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Monday, Nov. 27

Oct 17, 2023; Seattle, Washington, USA; Colorado Avalanche right wing Valeri Nichushkin (13) during the game against the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena.
Image Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the Colorado Avalanche.

The Colorado Avalanche (14-6) are set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-6-5) in a thrilling NHL showdown at Ball Arena. With both teams in the upper echelon of their respective conferences, this game promises to be a high-stakes battle featuring star power and strategic gameplay.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning +120 (DraftKings) / Colorado Avalanche -142 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -210 (BetRivers) / Colorado Avalanche +170 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – -114 (BetRivers) / -107 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Nov. 27

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Ball Arena – Denver, CO

TV: ESPN+

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 4 wins and 6 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 5 wins and 5 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 13 overs and 8 unders.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Colorado Avalanche have 7 wins and 2 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 6 losses.
  • This season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 11 overs and 9 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last three seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Colorado Avalanche have faced off a total of 10 times, with the Avalanche securing 6 victories compared to the Lightning’s 4. The distribution of wins between the home and visiting teams has been evenly split, with each claiming 5 wins apiece. When it comes to betting statistics, the Tampa Bay Lightning have proven more successful against the spread, covering it in 7 out of the 10 games, while the Colorado Avalanche have covered the spread in just 3 instances. The total score for these matchups has equally favored bettors who wager on Over and Under outcomes, with each occurring 5 times across the 10 games. Key statistics from these encounters show a competitive edge in shots on goal, with the Avalanche taking a total of 46 shots to the Lightning’s 35 in their most recent game. The Lightning, however, have demonstrated a slight advantage in faceoff win percentage, securing 53.7% compared to the Avalanche’s 46.3% in the same game.

The most recent game between the two teams, played on February 14, 2023, ended in a 3-3 tie after regulation and overtime, with the Tampa Bay Lightning ultimately triumphing in the shootout thanks to a lone goal by Steven Stamkos. The Lightning’s Artturi Lehkonen opened the scoring just 50 seconds into the game, but it was Nathan MacKinnon of the Avalanche who stood out with a goal and an assist. The game was characterized by a high number of shots from both teams, with the Avalanche outshooting the Lightning 46 to 35. Despite the Avalanche’s higher shot count, Lightning’s goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy posted an impressive save percentage of 0.935, while his counterpart, Alexandar Georgiev, recorded a save percentage of 0.914. The game saw the Lightning’s faceoff win percentage at 53.7%, a slight edge over the Avalanche’s performance in the faceoff circle. Tampa Bay’s victory in the shootout capped off a closely contested game that was reflective of the intense rivalry between these two teams.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Predictions

The Colorado Avalanche enter this matchup on a three-game winning streak, showcasing their offensive prowess and resilience. With a home record of 7-2-0, they’ve been formidable at Ball Arena, leaning heavily on the elite play of right winger Mikko Rantanen and defenseman Cale Makar, who leads the team with 30 points. The Avalanche’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, combined with their top-ranked power play, will be critical against a Lightning team that has been finding its rhythm after a mixed start to the season.

The Tampa Bay Lightning, on the other hand, have been buoyed by the return of goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy and the consistent excellence of right winger Nikita Kucherov, who tops their scoring with 35 points. The Lightning’s recent form, including a 4-0-1 run in their last five games, suggests they’re hitting their stride at the right time. Their ability to cover the spread in 7 out of the last 10 head-to-head games against the Avalanche indicates a potential edge in this matchup, especially if their defense can stifle Colorado’s high-octane attack.

This game not only features a clash of offensive titans but also a battle between two of the league’s top skaters in Makar and Kucherov. Both teams will be looking to their star players to make the difference, while also relying on depth players to step up in key moments. With the Avalanche’s strong home record and the Lightning’s recent upswing, fans can expect a closely contested game that could very well come down to special teams and goaltending. The outcome of this game could have significant implications for the playoff race, making it a must-watch for NHL enthusiasts.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Pick

The Colorado Avalanche’s strong performance at home this season, boasting a 7-2-0 record, positions them as the favorites in this matchup. Their recent form, a three-game winning streak, and the high level of play from their stars, particularly Cale Makar, who has been involved in a significant portion of the team’s scoring, give them the edge. Additionally, the Avalanche’s power play, which is among the best in the league, could prove to be a deciding factor against the Lightning, who have had a mixed start to the season despite their recent upswing.

While the Tampa Bay Lightning have shown they can cover the spread against the Avalanche in past meetings, the current momentum of the Avalanche, combined with their home-ice advantage and the Lightning’s inconsistent defense, suggests that the trend may not continue. Moreover, the Avalanche’s ability to perform well against Eastern Conference teams, with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, further supports the likelihood of a Colorado victory. Given these factors, the smart money is on the Avalanche to continue their winning ways at Ball Arena.

The Pick: Colorado Avalanche -142. (DraftKings)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 8/10 -215 +165 1.5 1.20
Steven Stamkos Points 0.5 8/10 -230 +175 1.2 1.17
Nikita Kucherov Shots On Goal 3.5 9/10 -145 +114 4.8 4.79
Steven Stamkos Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -140 +110 3.4 3.36
Brandon Hagel Points 0.5 7/10 -145 +114 1.2 1.15
Mikhail Sergachev Assists 0.5 7/10 +114 -145 0.8 0.80
Mikhail Sergachev Points 0.5 7/10 -115 -115 1.0 0.90
Victor Hedman Assists 0.5 7/10 -105 -125 0.9 0.83
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 7/10 -140 +110 1.1 0.99
Brayden Point Points 0.5 7/10 -230 +175 1.5 1.20

Colorado Avalanche

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Valeri Nichushkin Points 0.5 9/10 -210 +160 1.3 1.20
Cale Makar Points 0.5 9/10 -245 +185 1.9 1.87
Cale Makar Assists 0.5 9/10 -160 +124 1.7 1.20
Nathan MacKinnon Assists 0.5 9/10 -160 +124 1.4 1.20
Ross Colton Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -195 +150 2.5 2.43
Devon Toews Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -160 +124 2.1 2.03