Spurs vs. Mavericks Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Tuesday, Mar 19

Nov 28, 2023; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) reacts after he makes a basket against the Houston Rockets during the second half at the American Airlines Center
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Spurs are ready to clash with the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday, Mar 19. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 8:00 ET and will be televised on BSSW. Dallas enters this game as 8.5-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 233. Can the Mavericks pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Spurs vs. Mavericks player props and predictions.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks -8.5
  • Total 233

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Mar 19
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio TX
  • TV: BSSW

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three road contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 129 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Spurs Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • San Antonio has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 120. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.

Can Dallas Lock in a Road Win?

In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Nuggets by a score of 107-105. The combined scoring in that game was 212 points, which was below the O/U line of 231.5.

This season, Dallas has an O/U record of 34-34, and their games have averaged 236.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 233 points.

The Mavericks have won six straight games against the spread and are 38-30 ATS for the season. On the road, they have an ATS record of 21-11 compared to 17-19 at home.

With a record of 39-29, the Mavericks are currently 7th in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place.

This season, the Mavericks have been favored in 40 of their 68 games and have a record of 29-11 in those games. As the favorite, they have an ATS record of 25-15 and an average scoring margin of +6.4 PPG.

The Mavericks come into this game as the 6th ranked offense in the NBA, averaging 118.8 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been slightly better on the road, averaging 118.1 points compared to 119.4 at home.

When it comes to their style of play, the Mavericks are one of the most three-point reliant teams in the league. They are 3rd in three-point makes per game at 14.6 and 2nd in three-point attempts at 39.6 per game.

Overall, Dallas has been an efficient offensive team, ranking 12th in field goal percentage and 9th in true shooting percentage. They have also been slightly above the NBA average in terms of free throw attempts.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Mavericks is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 117.5 points per game (22nd). Most recently, the Mavericks’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 105 points to the Nuggets.

Will the Spurs Find a Way to Win at Home?

San Antonio’s ATS record this season is 34-34, including going 16-16 ATS at home and 18-18 ATS on the road. Currently, they have covered the spread in two straight road games.

As the underdog, the Spurs have gone 29-33 ATS this season. Today’s game marks the fourth straight game where they have been the underdog. On average, they have been the underdog by 9.4 points per game.

In their last game, the Spurs beat the Nets by a score of 122-115. The O/U line for that game was 218 points. San Antonio was favored by 2 points going into the game.

This season, the Spurs have an O/U record of 34-33-1, and their games have averaged 232.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 233 points.

San Antonio’s overall record this season is 15-53, which is 15th in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 9-31 and 1-11 against teams in the Southwest Division.

When playing at home, the Spurs are averaging 114.3 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.4 points per game.

San Antonio has been one of the league’s best teams in terms of pace, ranking 3rd at 101 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 24th in the NBA at 46%.

So far this season, the Spurs have outscored the league average in 47.1% of their games. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are 28th in the NBA at 34%.

Facing Dallas, the Spurs aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 119.8 points allowed per game (25th). On two point field goal attempts, the Spurs’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.0% and allowing 37.7% from beyond the arc.

Spurs vs. Mavericks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Devin Vassell and his points prop of 20.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -129 while the under is at -106. Our projections have Devin Vassell going 8/16 from the field on his way to 21 points. Our recommended bet is take the over on his prop bet with a payout of -129.

  • The Prop: Devin Vassell Over 20.5 Points (-129)

Spurs vs. Mavericks Predictions

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Mavericks to secure the win, with an expected final score of 119-104. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -8.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 233, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Spurs to score a combined 223 points. We recommend betting on the under.

The Pick: Mavericks -8.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook