There’s an unusual suspense surrounding the quarterback situation for tonight’s game, as Jalen Hurts is listed as questionable with an illness, and Geno Smith is a game-time decision with a groin injury. Their statuses for tonight were critical considerations for the following Seahawks vs. Eagles player props.
Seahawks vs. Eagles Player Props: Week 15
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Monday Night Football Props: Week 15
Here’s a trio of Seahawks vs. Eagles player props I like for Monday’s primetime matchup:
D’Andre Swift Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Hurts might be asked to do less if he’s active but still under the weather. Moreover, the Eagles would presumably run the ball more often if Marcus Mariota started.
However, D’Andre Swift can eat even if the Eagles play their usual pass-leaning brand of football. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Swift has handled 43 of Philadelphia’s backfield’s 60 rush attempts since Week 11. He had 76, 80, 13, and 39 rushing yards in those games.
The Eagles were blown out in their two most recent games and won the two prior contests. The Eagles are favored, and a positive game script would be favorable for Swift’s rushing outlook.
He has a tasty matchup in this game. According to The 33rd Team, the Seahawks have allowed 118 rushing yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry to running backs since Week 11. Swift should make the most of this matchup and run through the Seahawks.
Where to bet: D’Andre Swift Over 57.5 Rushing Yards | -115 DraftKings Sportsbook
Kenneth Walker Under 48.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
A positive game script for Swift would be a negative one for Kenneth Walker’s rushing potential. So, since I like Philadelphia’s chances of being in a positive game script, the inverse is valid for the Seahawks.
Still, Walker has other underlying problems for his rushing potential. First, Seattle has a pass-first offense. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Seahawks have had a 64% situation-neutral pass rate since Week 11. Second, the Eagles have faced a 57% situation-neutral pass rate since Week 11.
Third, Zach Charbonnet is a thorn in Walker’s side. When Walker returned in Week 14 from a two-game absence, he had eight rush attempts versus nine for Charbonnet. Walker has had double-digit rush attempts only once in his past five games. The second-year running back has big-play ability, but a shared backfield with Charbonnet decreases his opportunities to rip off chunk plays, enhancing the appeal of this wager.
Where to bet: Kenneth Walker Under 48.5 Rushing Yards | -114 FanDuel Sportsbook
Dallas Goedert Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Dallas Goedert’s receiving potential would be significantly reduced tonight if Mariota got a fill-in start. It would also be negatively impacted by an increase in rush attempts to take work off Hurts’s plate tonight.
Still, Goedert is the third option in the passing attack behind target hogs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. As a result, Goedert has had under 42.5 receiving yards in seven of 10 contests this year, with a median of 38.5. Finally, Goedert only had four targets, four receptions, and 30 receiving yards in his return in Week 14 from a multi-week absence.
Where to bet: Dallas Goedert Under 42.5 Receiving Yards | -113 FanDuel Sportsbook