The Saints are gearing up to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday, Oct 19. The game is slated for 8:15 ET and will be broadcast on AMAZON. New Orleans comes into this game as 1-point favorites, with the total set at 40. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Saints vs. Jaguars predictions below.
Saints VS. Jaguars Odds
- Spread: Saints -1
- Total 40
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Oct 19
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
- TV: AMAZON
Jaguars Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Jaguars have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Jacksonville has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 25 points per game while allowing 14. The team also performed well vs the spread at 5-0.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Jaguars have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Saints Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Saints have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Saints have a straight-up record of 4-6 while going 4-5-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 18 points per game in these contests.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Saints have a straight-up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
Can The Jaguars Secure a Road Victory?
In six games, the Jaguars have a 4-2 record. This has them situated 1st in the AFC-South and 4th in the AFC. The Jaguars have a 4-2 ATS record so far. As we enter week 7, their scoring margin per game is +3.3.
The Jaguars had the Colts as their opponent in week 6. This game ended in a 37-20 win for the Jaguars. As 4-point favorites against the Colts, the Jaguars picked up an ATS win. The game had an over/under line of 44 points, and both teams went beyond it, scoring a combined total of 57 points.
On offense, Trevor Lawrence ended with 181 passing yards on a completion rate of 66%. On the ground, the Jaguars ran the ball 29 times, amassing 85 yards. The team converted 4 third-downs at a rate of 28.6%.
Defensively, the Jaguars come into the game, allowing an average of 270.3 passing yards per game and 75.3 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Jacksonville ranks 11th among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 20.3 points on 345.7 yards.
Pressure Builds for New Orleans as Home Favorites
The Saints come into their matchup against the Jaguars with a 3-3 record. In the NFC-South, they are 3rd and 10th in the NFC overall standings. New Orleans’ scoring margin up to this point is currently at +2.2. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 1-4-1.
The Saints took on the Texans in week 6, but they fell short, losing by a score of 20-13. Not only did the Saints lose the game, but they also didn’t cover the spread as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under line for their most recent game against Houston was 42. Finishing with a combined total of 33 points, the under hit in this matchup.
Offensively, Derek Carr finished with 353 passing yards while completing 64% of his passes. On the ground, the Saints rushed the ball 25 times for 89 yards. The team converted 6 of 15 third-down opportunites.
New Orleans’ defense has come up with 10 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 5th in the NFL. Heading into week 7, they are allowing 16 points per game and 278.3 yards.
Saints vs. Jaguars Player Prop
Currently, Christian Kirk’s receiving yards prop is at 49.5.
Kirk ranks 19th in receiving yards among receivers, coming in with 384 yards. In six games, he’s been targeted an average of 8.2 times per game and holds the 17th position in fantasy points (receivers). I like the chances of Christian Kirk going over his receiving yards prop of 49.5.
The Prop: Christian Kirk Over 49.5 Receiving Yards | -121 at Caesars Sportsbook
Saints vs. Jaguars Predictions
When it comes to the point spread lines, there has been some movement worth mentioning. Jacksonville started as the 1.5-point favorite. However, New Orleans is now favored by 1.
When looking at the betting splits, the Jaguars have represented 65% of betting tickets against the spread, but the Saints have accounted for 56% of the money against the spread.
Despite that, we are looking toward the Jaguars to keep their momentum and ultimately win this game on the road.
The Pick: Jaguars +1 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook