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Ravens vs. Texans Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 1

Oct 30, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans running back Dameon Pierce (31) runs with the ball during the game against the Tennessee Titans at NRG Stadium.
Image Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Ravens are set to face the Houston Texans on Sunday, Sep 10. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on CBS. Baltimore enters this game as 10-point favorites with the total set at 43.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Ravens vs. Texans predictions below.

Ravens vs. Texans Odds

  • Spread: Ravens -10
  • Total 43.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Sep 10
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
  • TV: CBS

Texans Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Texans have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Houston has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 24 points per game while allowing 24. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Texans have a straight up record 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-1.

Ravens Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Ravens have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Baltimore has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 15 points per game while allowing 21. The team also performed well vs. the spread at 3-2.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Ravens have an overall record of 3-2 while going 1-4 against the spread.

Can Houston Get a Win at Baltimore?

After a season in which they concluded with an overall record of only 3-13-1, the Texans are looking to take a step forward this season. Within the AFC-South, Houston secured a 4th place finish and went 3-2-1 record against divisional rivals. When playing on their home turf, the Texans went 0-7-1, while they held a 3-6 record when competing on the road.

Houston is coming off a season in which they were 30th in points per game, at 17.0 points per contest. In terms of their offensive efficiency, they averaged 4.7, which was 31st in the NFL. On the ground, the Texans ran the ball an average of 23.4 times per contest (28th) and finished 25th in passing yards.

Last season, the Texans’ defense was 3rd in turnovers, having forced 27 takeaways. At season’s end, they had a turnover differential of -1 which put them 11th in the league. Overall, they allowed an average of 24.7 points per game (26th) and 379.5 yards.

Can the Ravens Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Looking back at last season, the Ravens concluded with a 10-7 record and experienced a Wild-Card round loss against the Bengals (24-17). On the road, Baltimore’s record was 5-5, while they had a 5-3 record at home. In the AFC-North, the Ravens were 2nd, going 3-4 in divisional matchups.

Baltimore closed out last season as the 20th-ranked offense in terms of points per game (20.4). In the passing game, the Ravens averaged 180.5 while sitting 26th in attempts. For the season, they were 12th in terms of sacks allowed and 1st in quarterback hits allowed. In the running game, Baltimore averaged 159.7 rushing yards per contest.

When looking at how the Ravens’ defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 4th in the NFL with opponents converting 34.9% of their 3rd down attempts. Baltimore finished the season 4th in turnovers and allowed an average of 18.8, putting them 3rd in the NFL.

Ravens vs. Texans Player Prop

Although the Texans are anticipated to bolster their defense this season, the degree of improvement is still uncertain. They ranked last in the NFL last year for rushing yards allowed to running backs, and it’s probable they’ll remain in the bottom ten or even bottom five in that category in 2023.

This creates a favorable scenario for Dobbins, who is likely to receive a significant number of carries. This is particularly true given that the Ravens are 10-point favorites going into the game. Further strengthening this outlook is Dobbins’ impressive history; he has exceeded 58.5 rushing yards in his last six games, with three of those games surpassing 90 rushing yards.

Where to bet: Dobbins over 58.5 rushing yards | -125 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Ravens vs. Texans Predictions

Certainly, the Ravens stand head and shoulders above the Texans in terms of talent at almost every position group. Still, let’s not discount the possibility of a low-scoring, close game in this Week 1 showdown.

This becomes even more likely considering the Ravens are rolling out a fresh playbook under a brand-new offensive coordinator. Meanwhile, the Texans have a game plan of their own: slow the pace and maintain ball control.

This tactic could not only keep them in the running but might also help them beat what appears to be an overly generous 10-point spread.

The Pick: Texans +10 | -114 at Fanduel Sportsbook

More NFL Props & Predictions 

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