NLDS Game 3: Braves at Phillies Predictions, Odds & Picks

Oct 9, 2023; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper (3) walks during the ninth inning against the Atlanta Braves in game two of the NLDS for the 2023 MLB playoffs at Truist Park.
Image Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves (104-58), who clinched the top spot in the NL East during the regular season, are set to lock horns with the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72), who finished second in the same division. This series is tied 1-1.

How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies predictions, odds, and picks below.

Braves at Phillies Odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -122 (DraftKings) / Atlanta Braves +110 (BetRivers)
  • Total: 9.0

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Oct. 11
  • Time: 5:07 PM ET
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: TBS

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have won 7 of their last 10 games.
  • As the favorite, the Braves have a record of 96 wins and 50 losses this season.
  • The Braves have covered the spread in 83 of their 162 games this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have won 7 of their last 10 games.
  • As the favorite, the Phillies have a record of 66 wins and 42 losses this season.
  • The Phillies have covered the spread in 72 of their 162 games this season.

Braves at Phillies Predictions

The Braves are sending right-handed pitcher Bryce Elder to the mound. Elder has a win-loss record of 12-4 this season with an ERA of 3.81. He has started 31 games this season, with the Braves winning 21 of those games. Elder’s performance will be crucial in this game, especially considering the Phillies’ batting lineup. The Phillies’ top batter, Bryce Harper, has a batting average of .293 with 21 home runs this season.

On the other side, the Phillies are starting with right-handed pitcher Aaron Nola. Nola has a win-loss record of 12-9 with an ERA of 4.46. He has started 32 games this season, with the Phillies winning 19 of those games. Nola will have to be on top of his game to contain the Braves’ offense, which is led by Ronald Acuna Jr. who has a batting average of .337 with 41 home runs this season.

Braves at Phillies Picks

Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, the Braves seem to have a slight edge in this game. However, considering the odds, the Phillies as the home team offer better value. The Phillies have a home win-loss record of 49-32, which is better than their road record.

Also, the Phillies’ batting lineup, led by Bryce Harper, has the potential to cause problems for the Braves’ pitching. Therefore, the pick for this game is the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -122 (DraftKings)

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