New Mexico State vs. Liberty Predictions & Picks – Friday, Dec. 1

Nov 18, 2023; Auburn, Alabama, USA; New Mexico State Aggies quarterback Diego Pavia (10) drops back to pass against the Auburn Tigers during the first quarter at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Image Credit: John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

The Liberty Flames (12-0) are set to clash with the New Mexico State Aggies (10-3) in a highly anticipated Conference USA Championship showdown. With both teams riding impressive winning streaks, this game not only promises to be a battle for the title but also a testament to their remarkable seasons.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames Odds Info

Moneyline: New Mexico State Aggies +350 (BetMGM) / Liberty Flames -400 (FanDuel)
Spread: -11.5 – New Mexico State Aggies -110 (BetMGM) / Liberty Flames -110 (BetMGM)
Total: 56.5 – -114 (BetRivers) / -115 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Friday, Dec. 01
Time: 07:00 PM
Location: Williams Stadium – Lynchburg, VA
TV: CBS Sports Network

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends

  • On the road, New Mexico State Aggies are 5 and 2 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, New Mexico State Aggies are 11 and 2.
  • Against the spread on the road, New Mexico State Aggies are 6 and 1.

Liberty Flames Betting Trends

  • At home, Liberty Flames are 7 and 0 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Liberty Flames are 8 and 4.
  • Against the spread at home, Liberty Flames are 4 and 3.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames Predictions

The Liberty Flames have been nothing short of spectacular this season, boasting an undefeated record and a potent offense that leads the nation with an average of 295.4 rushing yards per game. Their quarterback Kaidon Salter has been a dual-threat sensation, responsible for 40-plus touchdowns this season. The Flames’ defense is not to be overlooked either, as they’ve been formidable against the run, setting the stage for a challenging matchup for the Aggies.

New Mexico State, on the other hand, has defied expectations under the guidance of coach Jerry Kill. The Aggies have put together an eight-game winning streak, including a stunning upset over Auburn. Quarterback Diego Pavia has been the linchpin of their offense, amassing over 2,700 passing yards and more than 800 rushing yards. The Aggies’ defense has been their cornerstone, leading Conference USA in scoring defense and setting up a fascinating clash against Liberty’s high-powered offense.

This championship game is not just a test of offensive might but also a showcase of defensive prowess. Both teams have star players who can turn the game on its head, and it will be intriguing to see how the coaches strategize to gain the upper hand. With Liberty’s home-field advantage at Williams Stadium and both teams eager to cap off their seasons with a conference title, this matchup is poised to be a classic battle in college football.

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames Pick

The New Mexico State Aggies have been defying the odds all season, and their impressive 11-2 record against the spread cannot be ignored. With a 6-1 ATS record on the road, they have shown resilience and the ability to perform under pressure away from home. The Aggies’ defense, leading Conference USA in scoring defense, suggests they can contain Liberty’s explosive offense and keep the game closer than the 11.5-point spread suggests. Furthermore, the Aggies’ recent victory over Auburn as 25-point underdogs is a testament to their capability to rise to the occasion against formidable opponents, making them a strong pick against the spread.

While Liberty’s undefeated season and offensive dominance are noteworthy, the Flames are 4-3 against the spread at home, indicating potential vulnerabilities when playing in front of their home crowd. The Aggies’ quarterback Diego Pavia’s dual-threat ability adds an unpredictable element that could disrupt Liberty’s defensive schemes. Considering the Aggies’ current momentum with an eight-game winning streak and their ATS trends, especially as underdogs, there is a compelling case for New Mexico State to cover the spread in this high-stakes championship matchup.

The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +11.5  (BetMGM)