NBA Props Thursday: Time To Buy Low On Stephen Curry?

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors warms up before the game against the Los Angeles Lakers at Chase Center on February 12, 2022 in San Francisco, California.
Image Credit: Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images

Each weekday, selects five intriguing player and/or team NBA props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes. compared the top platforms to find that DraftKings Sportsbook has the most robust offerings for NBA Props. They also have a generous welcome offer for new members (see below).

With that, let’s dive into our top NBA Props for Thursday’s seven-game slate.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook updated as of 11 a.m. ET on Feb. 24. 

Live In A Non-Betting State?

You can still get in on the NBA Props action with Underdog Fantasy!

If you haven’t played on Underdog Fantasy yet, then fear not! Getting started is very simple:

  • Create an account on Underdog Fantasy.
  • Use the promo code PROPS to claim an extra $10 on your first deposit.
  • Go to the Pick’em Games.
  • Make two or more NBA Props selections to receive a correlated payout of 3x, 6x, 10x, 20x.
Use promo code PROPS for $10 free!

Underdog Fantasy is available in every state except Arizona, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Louisiana, Montana, Washington, Delaware, and Iowa.

Boston Celtics: PF/C Al Horford

Al Horford #42 of the Boston Celtics shoots the ball during a game against the Milwaukee Bucks at TD Garden on December 13, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts.
Image Credit: Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

The prop: 15.5 points + rebounds
The odds: Over -115/Under -115

Horford is not the same player that he was in his prime, but he’s still capable of giving the Celtics quality playing time. The big question is how many minutes will he give them? His playing time has been sporadic all season, and he’s logged as many as 33.8 minutes and as few as 19.7 minutes over his past five games.

Still, I think his median expectation is around 28 minutes, and that should be enough for him to hit the over on this prop. Horford averaged 10.1 points and 7.5 rebounds over an average of 28.2 minutes per game this season, and he’s hit the over on 15.5 points + rebounds in five of his past nine games.

Editor’s Note: New to NBA player props? Check out our complete NBA Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed! 

Brooklyn Nets: G/F Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown #1 of the Brooklyn Nets during a break in the action in the second quarter against the Los Angeles Clippers at Barclays Center on January 01, 2022 in New York City.
Image Credit: Dustin Satloff/Getty Images

The prop: 5.5 rebounds
The odds: Over -115/Under -115

On the other side of that matchup, the Nets are going to be perilously thin. There is growing optimism in Brooklyn, with Kyrie Irving telling reporters “just watch our squad after the break.” Well, we’re after the break, and the current squad looks a lot like the old one. Ben Simmons remains sidelined while Irving is still ineligible to suit up at the Barclays Center (for the time being).

That leaves a ragtag group to pick up the slack. Brown is someone who should be asked to play big minutes. He’s logged at least 34.9 minutes in each of the Nets’ past two home games, and he’s a solid rebounder for his size. He’s averaged 7.3 boards per 36 minutes this season, so he should be able to cruise past his current prop given his projected volume.

Chicago Bulls: PG Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu #12 of the Chicago Bulls in action in the game against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on December 31, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Image Credit: Justin Casterline/Getty Images

The prop: 5.5 assists
The odds: Over +100/Under -130

Dosunmu has been a vital part of the Bulls’ rotation this season. The second-round rookie from Illinois has taken over as one of the team’s top point guard options in the wake of multiple injuries. Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso are both sidelined with long-term injuries, while Zach LaVine was in-and-out of the lineup before the All-Star break.

However, LaVine has been removed from the injury report ahead of Thursday’s matchup against the Hawks, which will put a damper on Dosunmu’s offensive responsibilities. His assist rate decreases by 2.5% when sharing the court with LaVine this season, and he likely won’t be asked to play 40+ minutes. Dosunmu has averaged 7.3 assists over his past four games, but he’s needed 40.3 minutes per game to get there.

With that in mind, this seems like the right time to sell high and take the Under.

Phoenix Suns: SG Devin Booker

Devin Booker #1 of the Phoenix Suns dribbles against the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo Center on February 08, 2022 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Image Credit: Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images

The prop: 6.5 assists
The odds: Over -150/Under +115

The biggest development over the All-Star break involved the Suns. Chris Paul suffered a thumb injury in his final game before the break, and it was announced that he is expected to miss the next 6-8 weeks. That didn’t stop him from playing in the All-Star game – which was a really weird look – but I guess he only needed one hand for that contest.

Cameron Payne also remains out with a wrist injury, which means Booker is going to have to increase his role as a distributor Thursday vs. the Thunder. He has increased his assist rate by +9.8% with Paul and Payne off the floor this season, resulting in an average of 7.2 assists per 36 minutes.

That said, the Suns still have plenty of point guards to lean on. Elfrid Payton has taken on a larger role of late, while Aaron Holiday was recently acquired from the Wizards. Holiday played 20 minutes off the bench in relief of Paul last time out, and he racked up six assists. Overall, I’m not expecting nearly as large of a bump for Booker with those two players available.

Golden State Warriors: PG Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors shoots a fouled shot against the Utah Jazz during the first half of an NBA basketball game at Chase Center on January 23, 2022 in San Francisco, California.
Image Credit: Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

The prop: 24.5 points
The odds: Over -120/Under -105

When we last saw Curry, he was busy absolutely torching Team Durant during the All-Star game. He drilled an NBA-record 16 3-pointers, including a few from way downtown:

Hopefully, Curry saved something for the rest of the regular season. He got off to a torrid start this year, emerging as a massive MVP favorite, but his play tailed off during the end of the first half. He’s averaged just 23.0 points in 22 games since January 1.

Still, Curry is obviously one of the game’s premier scorers, and he’s averaged 25.8 points per game this season. There’s no reason he can’t exceed that average vs. the Blazers, who have been a trainwreck defensively. They rank just 28th in defensive efficiency, and the Warriors implied for 116.75 points in this matchup.