Mavericks vs. Warriors Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Wednesday, Mar 13

Golden State Warriors guard Chris Paul (3) reacts against the Phoenix Suns at Footprint Center.
Image Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re looking for Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions, you’ve come to the right place. The Warriors are on the move to take on the Mavericks on Wednesday, Mar 13 at 8:30 ET. At present, the total is set at 233, and the Mavericks are favored by 7 at home. Keep reading to get our Mavericks vs. Warriors player props and predictions.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks -7
  • Total 233

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Mar 13
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
  • TV: NBCS

Warriors Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five road games, Golden State has averaged 110 points per game while allowing 111 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 119 points per game.
  • As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Will the Golden State Defense Show Up on the Road?

In their games this season, the Warriors have averaged a combined scoring total of 235.4 points, which is higher than today’s line of 233. The team’s O/U record for the season is 31-32-1.

Against the spread, Golden State has a road record of 21-9 and is 35-28 overall. Currently, they are 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 34-30.

Golden State’s last game vs. the Spurs finished with a combined scoring total of 214 points, which was below the O/U line of 226.5. The Warriors won the game by a score of 112-102 and covered the spread as 5-point favorites.

This season, the Warriors have been the underdog in 22 of their 64 games. In those games, they have gone 6-16 straight-up and 14-7 vs. the spread. Today, they are 7-point underdogs on the spread.

Against Western Conference teams, the Warriors are 17-22 compared to 17-8 against the East. On the road, they have a scoring differential of +3.3 PPG.

Coming into tonight’s game, the Warriors’ offense has been one of the best in the league, averaging 118.5 points per game (7th). Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 119.5 points per game compared to 117.7 at home.

When it comes to their scoring, the Warriors have outscored the NBA average in 60.9% of their games this season. However, they have scored below their season average in each of their last two games.

In terms of pace, Golden State is 7th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game. This fast pace has helped them get up a lot of three-point attempts, as they are 3rd in the league in both three-point makes (14.9) and attempts (39.6) per game.

Coming into the game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 116.8 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 51.6% of their games. Opponents are hitting 54.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.0% of their three-point attempts.

Does Dallas Have What it Takes at Home?

The Mavericks have won three straight games and are looking to improve their record of 37-28. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 8th place and 2nd in the Southwest Division.

Dallas has an ATS record of 35-30 this season, including going 15-19 ATS at home. Today, they are favored by 7 points and have gone 24-15 ATS as the favorite. Their ATS win streak is at three games.

In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Bulls by a score of 127-92. The O/U line for that game was 232.5, and they covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.

This season, the average O/U line in Mavericks games is 236.2, and their games have averaged a combined 237 points. The team’s O/U record for the season is 33-32.

For the season, the Mavericks are 16-10 against non-conference opponents and 21-18 against the Western Conference. In their games against the spread, they are 20-11 on the road and 15-19 at home.

At home this season, the Mavericks are averaging 120.1 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 6th in the league at 119.1 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas ranks 11th in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the best in the league. They are 2nd in both three-point makes and attempts per game. However, they are just 12th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. From two-point range, Dallas is 5th in the league at 57%.

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 63.1% of their games. In terms of assists, Dallas is 22nd in the league. In terms of free throws, the Mavericks are 14th in both makes and attempts per game.

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 23rd in the league, allowing an average of 117.8 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.8 per game, which is 5th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 22nd in blocked shots at 4.7 per game.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jonathan Kuminga and his points prop of 20.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -125 while the under is at -102. Our model predicts that Jonathan Kuminga will finish with 17 points, 5 rebounds, and 2. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 20.5.

  • The Prop: Jonathan Kuminga Under 20.5 Points (-102)

Mavericks vs. Warriors Predictions

Not only do we have the Mavericks winning this one by a score of 121-111, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Mavericks at -7.

As for the over/under, the  line is currently at 233, and our model projects the Warriors and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 232 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

The Pick: Mavericks -7 | at Fanduel Sportsbook