Mavericks vs. Spurs Player Props & Predictions – Wednesday, Feb 14

Kyrie Irving #2 of the Dallas Mavericks looks on during the second half against the Charlotte Hornets at American Airlines Center on March 24, 2023 in Dallas, Texas.
Image Credit: Sam Hodde/Getty Images

The Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs will matchup on Wednesday, Feb 14. Tip-off for the game is 8:30 ET and will be shown on BSSW. Dallas is favored by 11 points in this game, and the total is 241.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Mavericks vs. Spurs player props and predictions.

Mavericks vs. Spurs Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks -11
  • Total 241.5

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Feb 14
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
  • TV: BSSW

Spurs Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Spurs have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 114 points per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 116 points per game.
  • The Mavericks have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Can The Spurs Secure a Win at Dallas?

The Spurs are 11-43 this season and are currently in 15th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are 5th with a record of 1-8 against division opponents.

San Antonio has gone 7-42 as the underdog this season and is the underdog today against the Mavericks. On the road, their ATS record is 13-15, and they are 6-22 straight-up.

In their last game, the Spurs beat the Raptors by a score of 122-99. They were 5.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for the game was 236 points.

This season, the Spurs have an O/U record of 28-25-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 232.7 points.

In non-conference games, the Spurs are 4-22 compared to 7-21 against Western Conference opponents. Today’s O/U line of 241.5 is higher than 47 of their previous games.

When it comes to scoring, the Spurs are 24th in the NBA at 112.2 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 110.0 points compared to 114.5 at home.

San Antonio is 27th in the league in field goal percentage at 46%. They are also 30th in three-point shooting at just 34%.

Despite their struggles shooting from deep, the Spurs are 5th in the NBA in pace at 101.3 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 2nd in the league at 29.3 per contest.

Coming into today’s game, the Spurs’ defense is giving up an average of 120.5 points per contest. Most recently, the Spurs’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 99 points to the Raptors.

Will the Mavericks Come Through as Home Favorites?

Today, the Mavericks are favored by 11 points at home against the Spurs. This season, the Mavericks have been favored in 30 of their 54 games and have gone 22-8 in those games. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +6.3 points per game.

Dallas’ ATS record for the season is 28-26, and they have gone 12-17 ATS at home. Currently, they have an average scoring differential of +3.2 PPG at home.

In their last game against the Wizards, the Mavericks won by a score of 112-104. The O/U line for that game was 247.5, and the teams combined for 216 points. Dallas was favored by 11.5 points in that game, giving them an ATS loss.

So far this season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 28-26, with an average of 236.4 points per game. In their games, the average over/under line is 235.5.

Overall, the Mavericks are 31-23 this season, which is good for 7th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 19-18 and 12-5 in non-conference games.

This season, the Mavericks have been one of the most potent three-point shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in both three-point attempts and makes per game. Overall, they are 8th in scoring at 118.7 points per game.

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.5 points per game, which is 8th in the league. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 13th overall at 47%. However, they are just 23rd in offensive rebounds and 22nd in assists.

When compared to the NBA scoring average, the Mavericks have outscored it in 57.4% of their games this season. They are also 11th in pace at 99.7 possessions per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 117.7 points per contest. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Mavericks vs. Spurs Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Devin Vassell and his points prop of 19.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -119 while the under is at -115. Our model predicts that Devin Vassell will finish with 19 points, 4 rebounds, and 4. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 19.5.

  • The Prop: Devin Vassell Under 19.5 Points (-115)

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Mavericks vs. Spurs Predictions

We’re putting our money on the Mavericks to win, and have the projected score sitting at 156-118. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks at -11.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 241.5 and our model has the Spurs and Mavericks finishing with a combined 274 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Mavericks -11 | at Fanduel Sportsbook