Mavericks vs. Kings Player Props & Predictions – Saturday, Jan 27

Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) dribbles against the Atlanta Hawks in the first quarter at State Farm Arena.
Image Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re looking for Mavericks vs. Kings predictions, you’ve come to the right place. The Kings are on the move to take on the Mavericks on Saturday, Jan 27 at 9:00 ET. At present, the total is set at 244.5, and the Kings are favored by 3 on the road. Keep reading to get our Mavericks vs. Kings player props and predictions.

Mavericks vs. Kings Odds

  • Spread: Kings -3
  • Total 244.5

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Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Jan 27
  • Time: 9:00 ET
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
  • TV: NBCS

Kings Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three road contests, Sacramento has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 131 points per game.
  • The Kings have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 7-3.

Taking a Look at the Kings Chances on the Road

When playing on the road, the Kings have gone 11-10 this season, compared to their 14-8 record at home. Overall, the Kings are 25-18 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games.

In their most recent game, the Kings put up 134 points against the Warriors. Overall, they shot 52.7% from the field and connected on 22 three-pointers. De’Aaron Fox is the team’s leading scorer, coming in at 27.5 ppg. Domantas Sabonis is also averaging 20 ppg this season.

So far this season, the Kings have given up an average of 118.1 points per game, which is 20th in the NBA. On the road, they have been slightly better, allowing 115.1 points per contest (14th).

In terms of shooting percentage allowed, Sacramento is 23rd overall at 48.7%. They have been better at defending two-point shots (54.6%, 15th), but have struggled to defend the three-point line (38.9%, 23rd).

Over their last five games, the Kings have given up an average of 125.6 points per game, which is 29th in the league. During that stretch, opponents have shot 50.2% from the field and 43.6% from beyond the arc.

Will Dallas Win at Home?

So far this season, the Mavericks have gone 25-20 overall and are 1-2 in their last three games. Against Western Conference teams, the Mavericks are 18-16 and are 7-4 in non-conference games.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks had a strong offensive performance, scoring 148 points vs. the Hawks. They shot 60% from the field and were 27/32 from the free-throw line. Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 73 points while Josh Green added 21 points.

When it comes to their defense, the Mavericks have struggled this season. They are giving up 118.3 points per game, which ranks 21st in the NBA. At home, they are allowing 117.0 points per game, which is also 21st in the league.

Over their last five games, Dallas has given up 128.2 points per game, which is 30th in the NBA during that span. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 21st overall at 48.5%.

One area where the Mavericks have been decent is defending the three-point line. On the season, they are 16th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.7%. However, opposing teams are getting up 36.1 three-point attempts per game against Dallas.

Mavericks vs. Kings Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is De’Aaron Fox and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -125. Considering his prop is set at 25.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 29. We anticipate him shooting 45.5% from the field and making three threes.

  • The Prop: De’Aaron Fox Over 25.5 Points (-105)

Mavericks vs. Kings Predictions

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Kings vs. Mavericks game, our recommendation is to take the Mavericks at +3. Despite our model showing the Kings winning 115-113, we like Mavericks as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 244.5, and our model projects the Kings and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 228 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

The Pick: Mavericks +3 | at Fanduel Sportsbook