The Mavericks are ready to clash with the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday, May 3. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 9:30 ET and will be televised on ESPN. Dallas enters this game as 8-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 208. Can the Mavericks pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Mavericks vs. Clippers predictions.
Mavericks vs. Clippers Odds
- Spread: Mavericks -8
- Total 208
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Friday, May 3
- Time: 9:30 ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
- TV: ESPN
Clippers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Clippers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their five previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 107 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Clippers have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
Mavericks Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- The Mavericks are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
- The last ten games that Dallas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 6-4 straight up.
Luka Doncic and the Mavericks put together a dominant performance in the most recent game of this Mavericks vs. Clippers series, as they picked up a 123-93 win. The Mavericks were favored by 3 points in this game and easily covered the spread. The 216 combined points surpassed the over/under line of 208 points.
Doncic had a big game for the Mavericks, finishing with 35 points, 10 assists, and 7 rebounds. As a team, the Mavericks shot 54% from the field. On the other side, the Clippers shot just 37.9% from the field and made just 9 threes. Paul George and Ivica Zubac each had 15 points for the Clippers.
Will the Clippers Find a Way to Win in Dallas?
The Clippers are 7-point underdogs today against the Mavericks. This season, they have gone 7-16 as the underdog and have an average scoring differential of -7.3 points per game.
Los Angeles is 40-47 against the spread this season and has failed to cover in their last three games as the favorite. On the road, they are 21-22 ATS compared to 19-25 ATS at home.
In terms of their O/U record, the Clippers are 40-46-1 for the season. The over has hit in their last two games and today’s line of 208 is lower than their season average of 226.9.
The Clippers are currently 4th in the Western Conference with a record of 51-31. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 30-22 and 9-7 against their division. In non-conference games, they are 21-9.
In their most recent game, the Clippers lost to the Mavericks by a score of 123-93. They were 3-point underdogs in that game and are 8-15 ATS as the underdog on the road.
For the Clippers to win today, they will need James Harden to continue his strong play of late. Over his last five games, he is averaging 22.2 points per game on 47.9% shooting. Paul George has also been playing well of late, averaging 19.8 points per game in that stretch while hitting 3.2 threes per game. Ivica Zubac is averaging 16 points and 9 rebounds in his last five games.
Los Angeles is averaging 115.6 points per game this season, which is 12th in the NBA. They have been slightly better on the road, at 115.3 points per game, compared to 114.2 at home. The Clippers are also a top-10 team in field goal percentage, hitting 48% of their shots this year.
On the season, the Clippers are 11th in the NBA in points allowed, giving up 112.0 points per contest. They have been slightly better on the road, ranking 9th in points allowed per game at 112.0.
Los Angeles has done a good job of holding opponents below their season average, as they have done so in 61.0% of their games. They have also done a good job of limiting three-point shooting, as opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 62.2% of their games.
Over their last five games, the Clippers have been even better, ranking 8th in points allowed at 105.6. However, they have struggled to keep opponents off the free-throw line, allowing 18.4 made free-throws per game during that stretch.
Will the Mavericks Defense Show Up at Home?
Dallas has an average over/under line of 233.6 points per game this season, which is higher than today’s line of 208. The Mavs have gone over the O/U line in their last two games and have a season record of 39-48 on the over/under.
The Mavericks are 51-36 against the spread this season, including a 22-21 record at home and a 29-15 mark on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two road games.
Dallas’ last game against the Clippers was a 123-93 win for the Mavericks. They were favored by 3 points going into the game, and the O/U line was also 208. The Mavs are 40-15 as the favorite this season.
With a record of 50-32, the Mavericks are in 5th place in the Western Conference. Against Western Conference teams, they are 31-21 compared to 19-11 in non-conference games.
This season, the average scoring line for the Mavericks is 231.9 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 208.
Overall, the Mavericks are the 8th ranked scoring team in the league, at 117.9 points per game. When playing at home, they are 9th in the league, at 118.1 points per contest. Dallas has been one of the most aggressive three-point shooting teams in the league this year, as they are 3rd in attempts and makes. However, they are just 15th in three-point shooting percentage.
Luka Doncic has averaged 30.2 points per game over his last five games to go along with 8.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds. For the season, he has hit 38.2% of his threes. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game this year and 25.8 in his last five games. He is shooting 50% from the field and 41.1% from downtown.
So far this season, the Dallas Mavericks have been a middle-of-the-pack defensive team, allowing 114.8 points per game (18th). At home, they have been slightly better, giving up 114.5 points per game (19th).
Over their last five games, the Mavericks have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 4th in points allowed (100.2). During that stretch, they have been particularly stingy inside the arc, ranking 3rd in two-point shooting percentage allowed (46.8%).
On the season, opposing teams have made 36.9% of their three-point attempts vs. Dallas. However, over their last five games, the Mavericks have struggled to defend the perimeter, ranking 26th in three-point shooting percentage allowed (39.8%).
Mavericks vs. Clippers Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Paul George and his points prop of 24.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -119 while the under is at -115. Based on our projections, Paul George is expected to go 9/20 from the field, resulting in 26 points. We recommend taking the over on his prop bet, which offers a payout of -119.
- The Prop: Paul George Over 24.5 Points (-119)
Mavericks vs. Clippers Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +8, the Clippers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 208, and our model projects the Clippers and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 235 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
The Pick: Clippers +8 | at Fanduel Sportsbook