Mavericks vs. Celtics Player Props & Predictions – Wednesday, June 12

Jun 6, 2024; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) controls the ball against Dallas Mavericks center Dereck Lively II (2) in the third quarter during game one of the 2024 NBA Finals at TD Garden.
Image Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

The Mavericks are gearing up to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday, Jun 12. The game is slated for 8:30 ET and will be broadcast on ABC. Dallas comes into this game as 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 212.5. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions below.

Mavericks vs. Celtics Player Props Special:

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Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks -1.5
  • Total 212.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Jun 12
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
  • TV: ABC

Celtics Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous road games, Boston has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 107 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Boston has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 6-4 straight up.

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Mavericks last three home games, the team averaged 103 points per game while allowing 105. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-1-1, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Despite a 32-point triple-double from Luka Doncic, the Mavericks fell to the Celtics in the most recent game of this series by a score of 105-98. Doncic’s 32 points were the game high, and he also hit four threes on 44.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Jrue Holiday led the Celtics with 26 points, and Boston held the Mavericks to just six made threes on 23.1% shooting from deep.

Heading into the game, the Celtics were favored by seven points, and they ended up winning by that exact margin. The game also fell 11.5 points short of the over/under line of 214.5 points. Both teams had below-average offensive games, as the Celtics made just 10 threes and shot 25.6% from three-point range.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Boston?

Boston’s current O/U streak is at three games, with the under going 2-0-1 in that span. Today’s line of 212.5 is lower than 88 of their previous games, and their games have averaged 226.7 points this season.

This season, the Celtics have gone 51-46-1 on the over/under, and their games have averaged an O/U line of 226.4. In their most recent game against the Mavericks, the teams combined for 203 points, which was below the O/U line of 214.5.

The Celtics are 2-2 as underdogs this season and have lost two straight games against the spread as underdogs. On the road, their ATS record is 22-23, and they are 33-14 straight up.

Boston’s overall ATS record is 49-44, and they are 47-42 as the favorite. As underdogs, they have a 2-2 ATS record. The Celtics have won nine straight games as the favorite.

Currently, the Celtics are 1.5-point underdogs against the Mavericks. In their last game against Dallas, the Celtics won 105-98 and covered the spread as 7-point favorites.

This season, the Celtics have gone 64-18 and are in first place in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 41-11 and 23-7 against the West.

Boston comes into the game as the NBA’s second-ranked scoring offense, averaging 120.6 points per game. Despite being one of the league’s top-scoring teams, the Celtics have scored below the league average in 41.5% of their games. The team’s pace of 97.2 possessions per game is just 25th in the league. The Celtics lead the league in both three-point attempts and three-pointers made per game.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 27.2 points per game in his last five games on 53.2% shooting. Over this stretch, he hit 2.4 threes per game. Jayson Tatum is averaging 2.6 made threes in his last five games but has hit just 31% of his three-point shots in those games. For the season, Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game, while Brown is averaging 23 points per contest. Derrick White has averaged 17 points per game over his last five games and 15.2 for the season. He has also averaged 5.2 assists per game for the year.

So far this season, the Boston Celtics have been one of the top defensive teams in the league, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game at 107.8. This number has been consistent both at home (4th) and on the road (3rd).

One area the Celtics have excelled in is their ability to make opponents work for their points. They are 2nd in the league in blocked shots and 1st in defensive rebounds. They are also 1st in the NBA in free throws made allowed per game at 16.7.

Over their last five games, the Celtics have been even stingier, allowing just 102 points per game. During this stretch, they have been especially effective at defending the three-point line, ranking 2nd in three-point percentage allowed.

Taking a Look at the Mavericks Chances at Home

The Mavericks have an O/U record of 46-55-0 this season, and their last two games have gone under the betting line. On average, their games have finished with 229.2 points per game, which is higher than today’s line of 212.5.

Dallas’ ATS record for the season is 59-41, including a 25-24 mark at home. They have gone 38-23 vs. the spread as the favorite and have an average scoring margin of +3.5 points per game at home.

Out of their 82 games this season, the Mavericks have been favored in 61 of them, going 44-17. They are currently favored by 1.5 points today and have a scoring differential of +6.6 points per game as the favorite.

In their most recent game against the Celtics, the Mavericks lost by a score of 105-98. They were 7-point underdogs in that game and the O/U line was 214.5. The teams combined for 203 points.

Overall, the Mavericks are 50-32 this season, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 31-21 and 11-5 in their division. The Mavs are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak.

Luka Doncic is averaging 31.8 points per game over his last five games on 50% shooting. In these games, he hit 4.6 threes per contest. For the season, he is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. The Mavericks are 4th in both three-point attempts and makes this season but are just 15th in three-point shooting percentage.

Dallas is averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 9th in the league. For the year, they have a field goal percentage of 48%, which is 11th in the NBA. Looking at their home production, the Mavericks are 10th in the league at 116.9 points per game.

At home this season, the Dallas Mavericks are giving up 113.3 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better, allowing just 105.4 points per game, which is 6th in the league during that span. On the year, opponents have scored more than their season average 62.2% of the time vs. the Mavs.

When it comes to shooting, opposing teams are hitting 47.1% of their shots vs. Dallas, which is 13th in the league. Over their last five games, they have been slightly worse, allowing teams to shoot 47.8% from the field.

Mavericks vs. Celtics Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jayson Tatum and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -119 while the under is at -115. With his prop at 25.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 27. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.0% and knocking down three threes.

  • The Prop: Jayson Tatum Over 25.5 Points (-119)

Mavericks vs. Celtics Predictions

The Celtics come in as the underdog at +1.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 212.5 and our model has the Celtics and Mavericks finishing with a combined 274 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Celtics +1.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook