The AFC Conference Championship is here, as the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Cincinnati Bengals. What does this matchup mean for Bengals QB Joe Burrow? More importantly, which Joe Burrow prop bets should you consider on Championship Sunday? We’ll uncover the top player prop for the Cincinnati signal-caller while uncovering top odds, trends, and betting value as well.
Best Joe Burrow Prop For AFC Championship
Let’s take a look at our favorite Joe Burrow prop bet for the AFC Championship.
Joe Burow Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Burrow isn’t known for his running ability, but he’s mobile enough to rack up 18+ rushing yards. Just ask the Buffalo Bills, who let Burrow run for 31 yards last week.
On top of that, Burrow has produced 18+ rushing yards in two of three games as an underdog this season. He’s averaging 27.7 rushing yards per game over that span.
Burrow has run well against the Chiefs, going for 25 rushing yards vs. KC earlier this season. Kansas City’s defense has struggled against quarterbacks on the ground too, allowing 34.2 rushing yards per game to QBs since Week 14. In their last six contests, they also allowed five instances of a quarterback rushing for more than 17.5 yards. Food for thought.
As our NFL prop betting analyst, Josh Shepardson, said in his Chiefs vs. Bengals Player Props article:
“Burrow will likely leave it all on the field in a must-win game. Add Kansas City’s ineptitude to contain quarterbacks as runners, and Burrow’s over for 17.5 rushing yards is an excellent bet.”
Where to bet: Joe Burrow Over 17.5 Rushing Yards | -111 at Caesars Sportsbook
Joe Burrow Passing Yards Trends
- Passed for 279+ yards in 1 of his last 6 (16.67%) games. (avg. 246.7 per gm)
- Passed for 279+ yards in 5 of his last 21 (23.81%) games on the road. (avg. 252.8 per gm)
- Passed for 279+ yards in 1 of his last 5 (20%) games when his team is the underdog. (avg. 251.6 per gm)
Joe Burrow Passing Touchdown Trends
- Threw for 2+ TDs in 5 of his last 7 (71.43%) games. (avg. 2.1 per gm)
- Threw for 2+ TDs in 6 of his last 7 (85.71%) games on the road. (avg. 2.7 per gm)
- Threw for 2+ TDs in 10 of his last 14 (71.43%) games when his team is the underdog. (avg. 1.9 per gm)
Joe Burrow Interception Trends
- Recorded 1+ interception in 0 of his last 6 (0%) games against a team with a winning record. (avg. 0.0 per gm)
More NFL Props For Conference Championships
Top 3 Chiefs vs. Bengals Player Props – AFC Championship (Sunday)
Top 3 Eagles vs. 49ers Player Props – NFC Championship (Sunday)
