Are you in need of Jaguars vs. Falcons predictions and player props? Well, you’re in the right place as the Falcons are on the road to face the Jaguars on Sunday, October 1 at 9:30 a.m. ET. The current total is 43, and the Jaguars are favored by 3.
Jaguars vs. Falcons Odds
- Spread: Jaguars -3
- Total 43
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Oct 1
- Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
- Location: Wembley Stadium — London, UK
- TV: ESPN+
Falcons Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten road contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 16 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Atlanta posted an overall record of 1-9 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
- The last three games that Atlanta was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
Jaguars Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Jaguars have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 27 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.
Will the Falcons Find a Way to Win in London?
Taking a glance at the NFC South standings, the Falcons are 1st with a record of 2-1. Within the NFC, Atlanta is currently in 4th place as they enter week 4. The Falcons’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +0.3, putting their ATS record at 1-2.
In week 3, the Falcons hit the road to face the Lions, but they suffered a 20-6 loss. In addition to their 14-point loss, the Falcons also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 3-point underdogs at the start of the game. The under bettors were successful in the Falcons’ most recent game, with a combined total of 26 points. The game’s betting line was 47.
Looking at their performance on offense, Desmond Ridder threw for 201 yards while completing 55% of his passes. On the ground, the Falcons rushed the ball 20 times for 44 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 4/14.
Atlanta is 7th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 18 points per game, accumulating 287.7 yards per contest.
Can the Jaguars Lock in a Win?
Leading up to their matchup with the Falcons, the Jaguars are 1-2. They currently sit 3rd in the AFC South and are in 11th place in the AFC. As the underdog, Jacksonville has gone 0-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 1-1 as the favorite. At home, the Jaguars are 0-2 ATS and 1-0 vs. the spread on the road.
This week, the Jaguars aim to recover from their 37-17 loss to the Texans. In addition to losing straight-up, the Jaguars also lost vs. the spread as 7.5 point favorites. The over hit in their most recent game, as the Texans and Jaguars combined for 54 points. The over/under line was 43.5.
Against the Texans’ defense, Trevor Lawrence led the way with 279 passing yards and a completion rate of 67%. On the ground, the Jaguars ran the ball 27 times for 116 yards. The team had 5 third-down conversions (38.5%).
Defensively, Jacksonville is 18th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 25 points per game while gaining 348.3 yards per contest.
Jaguars vs. Falcons Player Props
A prop bet I’m looking at for this game is Tyler Allgeier’s rushing prop with a value of 36.5 yards.
This season, Tyler Allgeier currently ranks 14th among running backs in rushing attempts with a total of 135 yards. Going into this week’s game, he has an average of 3 yards per carry. Considering Allgeier is facing the league’s 7th ranked rush defense, I’m going to go with the under on Tyler Allgeier’s’s prop of 36.5 rushing yards.
The Prop: Tyler Allgeier Under 36.5 Rushing Yards | -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jaguars vs. Falcons Predictions
From the time the lines were first released, Jacksonville has transitioned from -4.5 point favorites to their current line of -3 for this neutral-site game in London.
When looking at the betting splits, it appears that the public and sharp bettors are aligned on this one. 76 % of the tickets are on the Jaguars against the spread as well as 81% of the handle.
For this Jaguars vs. Falcons prediction, I’m taking Jacksonville to bounce back and cover the spread as a 3-point favorite. Look for the Jaguars to jump out to an early lead as the Falcons struggled in the first half of their previous game.
The Pick: Jaguars -3 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook
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