Heat vs. Pistons Predictions, Odds & Picks- Wednesday, Oct 25

Apr 9, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Detroit Pistons guard Jaden Ivey (23) brings the ball up court against the Chicago Bulls during the second half at United Center.
Image Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

Are you in need of Heat vs. Pistons player props and predictions? Well, you’re in the right place as the Pistons are on the road to face the Heat on Wednesday, Oct 25 at 7:30 ET.

The current total is 220.5, and the Heat are favored by 9.

Heat VS. Pistons Odds

  • Spread: Heat -9
  • Total 220.5

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Oct 25
  • Time: 7:30 ET
  • Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
  • TV: BSSU

Pistons Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Pistons have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten road contests, the Pistons offense has averaged 102 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Detroit posted an overall record of 1-9 while going 2-7-1 ATS.
  • The last five games that Detroit was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.

Heat Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five home games, Miami has averaged 98 points per game while allowing 100. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 4-6.

Will Detroit Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

A season ago, the Detroit Pistons finished the 2022-2023 season with an overall record of 17-65. They secured a conference rank of 15th and a division record of 2-14.

The Pistons’ offense was ranked 10th in the NBA last season, averaging 11.2 offensive rebounds per game. In terms of scoring, they ranked 29th in the league with an average of 110.3 points per game. Additionally, Detroit attempted 25.7 free throws per game, placing them 2nd in the NBA.

In terms of their two point field goal percentage, the Detroit Pistons ranked 30th in the NBA last season (2022-2023) with a rate of 51.6%. They also ranked 19th in the league for field goals attempted per game, averaging 87.1 attempts. Furthermore, the Pistons made an average of 11.4 three pointers per game, placing them 20th in the NBA.

Defensively, the Pistons had a three point percentage of 35.8 in the previous year, ranking them 16th in the NBA. They also ranked 29th in the league with an average of 26.2 free throw attempts per game. Additionally, the Pistons’ defense allowed an average of 118.5 points per game, which was the 27th highest in the NBA.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Miami?

Miami is coming off a season where they achieved a home record of 27-14 during the 2022-2023 NBA season. Furthermore, they maintained a home scoring margin of +1.2. Their overall performance resulted in an impressive record of 44-38 and a division rank of 2nd.

Last year, the Miami offense had a field goal percentage of 46.0%, which ranked them 26th in the NBA. They also averaged 23.8 assists per game, placing them 25th in the league. In terms of scoring, the Heat averaged 109.5 points per game, which was the lowest in the NBA. Furthermore, they had 96.2 possessions per game, ranking 29th in the league.

A season ago, the Miami Heat had an effective field goal percentage of 53.0%, ranking them 25th in the NBA. They also had 85.3 field goal attempts per game, placing them 26th in the league. When it comes to three point attempts, the Heat ranked 10th in the NBA with 34.8 per game, but their three point percentage was only 34.4%, which ranked them 27th in the league.

Last season, the Heat’s defense ranked 2nd in the NBA, allowing an average of 109.8 points per game. They also ranked 6th in steals per game, averaging 8.0. However, their ranking plummeted to 30th in terms of blocked shots per game, with an average of 3.0. Additionally, their defense ranked 21st in the league, allowing opponents to shoot at a field goal percentage of 48.3%.

Heat vs. Pistons Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jaden Ivey and his points prop of 16.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -110 while the under is at -120.

For his matchup against the Heat, we recommend taking the under on Jaden Ivey and his prop bet of 16.5 points. According to our player projection model, he is expected to fall short of his prop, with a projection of 16.

The Prop: Jaden Ivey Under 16.5 Points | -120 at FanDuel Sportsbook

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Heat vs. Pistons Predictions

For a pick on the point spread in this Heat vs. Pistons matchup, our bet is to grab the Pistons at +9. Even though our projections have the Heat winning 106-102, we see the Pistons as the play on the point spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 220.5 and our model has the Pistons and Heat finishing with a combined 208 points. Our pick is to take the under.

The Pick: Pistons +9 | at Fanduel Sportsbook