Looking for Heat vs. Celtics predictions? We have you covered as the Celtics travel to take on the Heat on Monday, Apr 29 at 7:30 ET. Currently, the total sits at 203.5 with the Celtics favored by 10.5 on the road. Check out our Heat vs. Celtics player props and predictions.
Heat vs. Celtics Odds
- Spread: Celtics -10.5
- Total 203.5
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Game Info
- Date: Monday, Apr 29
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: TNT
Celtics Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous road games, Boston has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 116 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Celtics have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-4-1.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Miami has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 103 points per game while allowing 106. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
The Celtics picked up a 20-point win over the Heat in the most recent game of this series, winning by a score of 104-84. Heading into the game, the Celtics were favored by 9.5 points, and they easily covered the spread. The game also fell 17 points short of the over/under line of 205 points.
Boston’s defense was the story of this game, as they held the Heat to just 84 points. Miami shot just 41.6% from the field and made only nine threes. Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum each had 22 points for the Celtics. Brown shot 55% from the field, while Tatum made just two threes.
Can the Celtics Offense Score Enough in Miami?
In games where the Celtics have been favored this season, their record is 64-17. Today, they are favored by 10.5 points and have been the favorite in all but one of their games. As the favorite, they have gone 41-36 against the spread.
Boston’s O/U record for the season is 44-40-1, and their games have averaged 228.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 203.5.
Against the spread, the Celtics are 43-38 for the season, going 20-20 ATS on the road and 23-18 ATS at home. Their straight-up road record is 28-14.
In the Eastern Conference, the Celtics finished the regular season with a record of 64-18, which is the best in the conference. In their last game, they defeated the Heat by a score of 104-84, covering the spread as 9.5-point favorites.
Overall, the Celtics have gone 44-40-1 on the O/U this season, and today’s line of 203.5 is lower than their season average of 228.4. In their last game, the Celtics and Heat combined for 188 points, which was well below the O/U line of 205.
Taking a Look at the Heat Chances at Home
Miami is 12-26 as the underdog this season and is currently coming in as 10.5-point underdogs vs. the Celtics. In their last game against Boston, the Heat lost by a score of 104-84.
In Eastern Conference play, the Heat are 32-20 and are currently in 8th place. Within the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place with a record of 46-36.
This season, Miami has gone 19-19 against the spread at home and 26-15 on the road. Overall, their ATS record is 43-41.
On average, Miami’s games have finished with 217.7 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 203.5. This season, 86 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 203.5.
In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the Celtics by a score of 104-84. Miami was also 9.5-point underdogs in that game. The O/U line for that game was 205 points.
For the season, the Heat are 37-50 on the over/under. In their last game vs. Boston, the teams combined for 188 points, which was below the O/U line of 205.
Miami comes into the game as one of the worst scoring teams in the league, at 110.1 points per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in pace, averaging just 95.8 possessions per game. So far, the Heat are the 18th best three-point shooting team, in terms of made threes per game, at 12.5 per contest. Their three-point shooting percentage of 37% is 10th best in the league.
Heat vs. Celtics Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Jayson Tatum and his points prop of 26.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -108 while the under is at -112. Considering his prop is set at 26.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 28. We anticipate him shooting 45.0% from the field and making three threes.
- The Prop: Jayson Tatum Over 26.5 Points (-108)
Heat vs. Celtics Predictions
For a pick on the point-spread in this Celtics vs. Heat matchup, our bet is to grab the Heat at +10.5. Even though our projections have the Celtics winning 115-111, we see the Heat as the play on the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 203.5 and given that our model is projecting 226 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Heat +10.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook