Friday Best Bets: One College Basketball Side, Two NBA Props

Mike Miles #1 of the TCU Horned Frogs reacts after defeating the Texas Longhorns 65-60 in the first round game of the 2022 Phillips 66 Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament at T-Mobile Center on March 10, 2022 in Kansas City, Missouri.
Image Credit: Jamie Squire/Getty Images

The Props crew had a nice, thick slice of humble pie after going 0-3 on Thursday’s Best Bets. What went wrong? Well, let’s recap.

First off, Iowa State got absolutely dismantled by Texas Tech. Then Tobias Harris somehow notched 16+ points in a blowout home loss to the Nets. And, finally, our NHL Prop selection, Johnny Gaudreau, had a hat trick but failed to nab an assist.

That’s just how it goes sometimes. But hey, look at the bright side. We still have a winning Best Bets record at 15-12-1. The Bostonian vs. The Book is 3-1 on the week, and our NBA Props are 5-2 on the year.

Let’s dive into our three Friday Best Bets, starting with a feisty college basketball underdog.

Track Record

Thursday: 0-3
Year-To-Date: 15-12-1

Bostonian vs. The Book: 5-2-1
BetPrep Prop of the Day: 2-6
NBA Props: 5-2
NHL Props: 3-2

College Basketball Side: TCU Horned Frogs Vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Damion Baugh #10 and Micah Peavy #0 of the TCU Horned Frogs high-five in the second half against the Texas Longhorns during the first round game of the 2022 Phillips 66 Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament at T-Mobile Center on March 10, 2022 in Kansas City, Missouri
Image Credit: Jamie Squire/Getty Images

The bet: TCU +8.5 (vs. Kansas)
The odds: -110
Where to bet: BetMGM
From: Matt Perrault via The Bostonian Vs. The Book Podcast

On Thursday, The Bostonian vs. The Book suffered their first loss of the week when underdog Iowa State (+8.5) got destroyed in the Big 12 Tournament. That didn’t deter podcast co-hosts Matt Perrault and Dave Sharapan, though, as they went right back to the well with another Big 12 underdog. The pick: TCU +8.5 against mighty Kansas in the conference semifinals.

Perrault sees value in this line, and it relates to the total: “I think this game goes Under the total [of 139]. TCU will try to grind this game down and keep it close.”

Perrault also noted that he’s wary of Kansas’ mindset after Thursday’s 24-point victory against West Virginia. Sharapan was on board with the Horned Frogs bet, noting the conference tournament upsets that occurred earlier in the day, including Illinois (Big Ten) and Auburn (SEC) both losing as No. 1 seeds.

The Jayhawks are the top seed in the Big 12.

“Sometimes these [upset] days start like this and keep going,” said Sharapan. “Dare I say, TCU can win this game?”

It’s certainly happened before — and quite recently. On March 1, TCU dumped Kansas 74-64 at home. Two days later, the Horned Frogs went to Kansas and nearly pulled off another stunner before falling 72-68 while easily covering the 11-point spread.

Interested in riding TCU among our Friday Best Bets? The best number/price is TCU +8.5 (-110) at BetMGM.

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Perrault listed three other bets he likes during Friday’s Bostonian vs. The Book podcast – two NHL totals and one other college basketball side. You can listen to the replay on Youtube, Spotify, or Apple Podcasts.

NBA Prop: Boston Celtics F Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics reacts after hitting a three-point shot during a game against the Milwaukee Bucks at TD Garden on December 13, 2021 in Boston, Massachusetts.
Image Credit: Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

The bet: Over 40.5 points/rebounds/assists (vs. Detroit)
The odds: -125
Where to bet: DraftKings Sportsbook
From: Jay Clemons via Friday NBA Props

Friday will mark Tatum’s fourth meeting with the Pistons in the last five weeks, which seems like a lapse on the part of the NBA’s schedule-makers.

How did Tatum fare in the previous three encounters? He averaged 36 points/rebounds/assists and cleared tonight’s 40.5 total just once (34, 31, 43 PRAs).

Does that make the Under a lock on this Friday NBA prop? Heck no!

Here’s why:

Tatum has been a man possessed lately, rolling for 52, 62, 48, and 48 points/rebounds/assists in his last four games (52.5 average). During this span, the Duke product averaged 42 points per outing — which by itself would beat Friday’s prop number.

In seven games since Feb. 24, Tatum is shooting 49.7 percent from the field and 40.8 percent from beyond the arc. He attempted 20-plus field goals in all seven contests … and chucked up at least seven 3-pointers on six occasions.

In other words, it’s difficult to envision the Pistons — who field the NBA’s fourth-worst field-goal defense (47.4%) — putting the clamps on the red-hot Tatum. Especially since Bulls playmaker DeMar DeRozan crushed Detroit for 36 points just 48 hours ago.

The Celtics, who were idle Thursday night, are averaging 115.3 points per contest in their last 17 games, and they posted victories in 15 of those outings. The biggest reason for this 15-2 SU spurt? Tatum. Might as well ride the Boston big man one more time Friday night.

NBA Prop: San Antonio Spurs G Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray #5 of the San Antonio Spurs dribbles the ball in the second quarter against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on November 01, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Image Credit: Dylan Buell/Getty Images