The Falcons host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, Nov 5. This week 9 game is set for 1:00 ET and will be shown on FOX. Atlanta comes into this game as 3.5-point favorites, with the total set at 37. Keep reading to get our Falcons vs. Vikings player props and predictions.
Falcons VS. Vikings Odds
- Spread: Falcons -3.5
- Total 37
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Nov 5
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
- TV: FOX
Vikings Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Vikings have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Vikings have a straight-up record of 2-8. But their mark vs the spread was just 2-7-1.
Falcons Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Although Atlanta has a straight-up record of 1-4 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 12 points per game in these games.
- As the betting favorite, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Atlanta posted a straight-up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
Can Minnesota Stun the Crowd at Mercedes-Benz Stadium?
With a record of 4-4, the Vikings head into their week 9 matchup with Falcons in 2nd place in the NFC-North. So far, they have gone 3-1 on the road and 1-3 at home. This season, the Vikings find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 4-3-1. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +1.6.
The Vikings are coming off a successful game, where they beat the Packers with a score of 24-10. The Vikings were able to cover the spread vs. Green Bay, as they went into the game favored by 1. In their most recent game against Green Bay, the pre-game over/under line was set at 41.5, leading the under to hit with a combined total of 34 points.
Minnesota’s offense generated 346 total yards against the Packers. On third downs, the Vikings managed a conversion rate of 55.6%. Alexander Mattison led the team in rushing with 31 yards, while Kirk Cousins passed for 274 yards.
Defensively, Minnesota is 14th in points allowed. So far, opponents are averaging 20.2 points per game against them on 322.8 yards allowed per contest.
Will Atlanta Live Up to Expectations at Home?
Eight games into the season, the Falcons hold a 4-4 record. This has them 1st within the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. Atlanta’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -2.9. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 2-6.
In week 9, the Falcons will be looking to recover from the 28-23 loss they suffered against the Titans. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Falcons also fell short of covering the spread as 2-point favorites. The game’s over/under line stood at 35 points, and the final score exceeded this mark, reaching a combined 51 points.
Versus, the Titans, the Falcons turned to the run 26 times, and it was Bijan Robinson who led the way with 62 yards. Meanwhile, Taylor Heinicke finished with 21 pass attempts, resulting in 175 yards and a passer rating of 100.
The Falcons are currently 15th in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 20.1 points per game and gaining 296.6 yards per contest against them.
Falcons vs. Vikings Player Prop
The passing yards prop for Atlanta quarterback Taylor Heinicke, is at 214.5. Based on the odds, he carries a 53% likelihood of exceeding this mark, while the under payout is -119. Heinicke is currently 42nd among quarterbacks in terms of passing attempts. His season totals include 175 passing yards and a completion rate of 57.1%. So far, the Vikings’ defense has been a below-average group at getting off the field on third downs. I’m expecting this to continue and like the over on Heinicke’s prop of 214.5 passing yards.
- The Prop: Taylor Heinicke Over 214.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Falcons VS. Vikings Predictions
The Falcons opened as 1.5 favorites at home and since then, the oddsmakers have shifted the lines to -3.5 in their favor.
Despite being 3.5-point underdogs on the road, Minnesota’s pass defense looked good against Green Bay’s in their last game. I like their chances to cover vs. Atlanta.
The Pick: Vikings +3.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook