Falcons vs. Panthers Predictions, Odds & Props – Week 1

Aug 25, 2023; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Carolina Panthers wide receiver Adam Thielen (19) celebrates with quarterback Bryce Young (9) after scoring a touchdown in the first quarter at Bank of America Stadium.
Image Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

The Falcons are set to face the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, Sep 10. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on FOX. Atlanta enters this game as 3.5-point favorites with the total set at 39.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Falcons vs Panthers predictions below.

Falcons vs. Panthers Odds

  • Spread: Falcons -3.5
  • Total 39.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Sep 10
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
  • TV: FOX

Panthers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Panthers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Carolina has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Panthers have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Falcons Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their five previous home games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 14 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Falcons have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Is a Win at Atlanta Possible for the Panthers?

Despite finishing in second place in the NFC-South, the Panthers still missed out on a Wild-Card berth and the playoffs. Carolina’s overall record was 7-10 and 4-2 in the division. At home, the Panthers put together a mark of 5-4 while going 2-6 on the road.

Carolina finished last season ranked 19th in points per game while averaging 20.4 points per contest. For the season, they were 19th in the NFL in yards per play. On the ground, the Panthers ran the ball an average of 28.4 times per contest (12th) and finished 29th in passing yards.

The Panthers’s defense gave up 22 points per game which was 16th in the NFL. Opponents averaged 350.2 yards per contest (22nd) against the Panthers. Carolina was 12th in takeaways and ended the season with 35 sacks (13th).

Can The Falcons Secure a Home Victory?

Following a season where they wrapped up with a total record of just 7-10, the Falcons are gearing up for their season opener. In the NFC-South, Atlanta finished 4th and posted a 2-4 record against their division opponents. On their home field, the Falcons concluded with a 6-3 record, and when away from home, they went 1-7.

Atlanta is coming off a season in which they were 15th in points per game, at 21.5 points per contest. In terms of their offensive efficiency, they averaged 5.4, which was 16th in the NFL. On the ground, the Falcons ran the ball an average of 32.9 times per contest (2nd) and finished 31st in passing yards.

The Falcons’ defense finished the season slightly below the league average at 22.7 points per game, which was 20th in the NFL. For the season, opponents averaged 362.1 yards per contest (26th). Atlanta was 12th in takeaways and ended the season with 21 sacks (17th).

Falcons vs. Panthers Player Prop

A player prop to consider in this week’s Panthers vs. Falcons matchup is Adam Thielen’s ‘To Score A Touchdown’. The odds are sitting at +256, putting the implied probability of this hitting at 28%. Heading into this game, I’m feeling good about Thielen’s chances to score a touchdown. But be sure to keep an eye on his health before kickoff as he is currently listed as questionable.

The Prop: Adam Thielen to Score a Touchdown +256

Falcons VS. Panthers Predictions

My point-spread pick for this Panthers vs. Falcons game is siding with the Panthers to cover on the road. They are 3.5-point underdogs, and I anticipate them covering this spread.

The Pick: Panthers +3.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook