NCAAB: Duquesne vs. Dayton Predictions – Tuesday, Feb. 13

Jan 30, 2024; Dayton, Ohio, USA; Dayton Flyers forward DaRon Holmes II (15) drives to the basket against George Washington center Babatunde Akingbola (23) during a game at University of Dayton Arena.
Image Credit: Matt Lunsford-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Duquesne Dukes vs. Dayton Flyers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Duquesne Dukes hit the road to face the Dayton Flyers.

The Dayton Flyers (19-4) are set to host the Duquesne Dukes (14-9) in a clash of Atlantic 10 Conference rivals. With Dayton on a 5-game winning streak and Duquesne looking to rebound from a recent loss, this matchup promises to be a battle of resilience and strategy.

Duquesne Dukes vs. Dayton Flyers Odds Info

Moneyline: Duquesne Dukes +360 (Ceasars) / Dayton Flyers -420 (BetRivers)

Spread: -8.5 – Duquesne Dukes -110 (BetPARX) / Dayton Flyers -110 (BetPARX)

Total: 134.0 – -110 (BetPARX) / -110 (BetPARX)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Feb. 13

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: UD Arena – Dayton, OH


Duquesne Dukes Betting Trends

  • On the road, Duquesne Dukes are 3 and 4 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Duquesne Dukes are 9 and 13.
  • Against the spread on the road, Duquesne Dukes are 4 and 4.

Dayton Flyers Betting Trends

  • At home, Dayton Flyers are 11 and 0 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Dayton Flyers are 12 and 10.
  • Against the spread at home, Dayton Flyers are 6 and 7.

Duquesne Dukes vs. Dayton Flyers Predictions

The Dayton Flyers are looking to continue their dominance at home, boasting an undefeated record at UD Arena this season. With an overall impressive 19-4 record and a strong 9-2 in conference play, the Flyers are leaning on their star forward DaRon Holmes II, who leads the team with an average of 19.4 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. Dayton’s offense is notable, ranking 62nd in field goal percentage at 47.2% and 32nd in three-point field goal percentage at 39.5%, which could pose a significant challenge for the Dukes’ defense.

On the other side, the Duquesne Dukes are coming off a tough road loss but have shown resilience this season with a 14-9 overall record and a 4-6 conference standing. The Dukes will rely heavily on guard Dae Dae Grant, who averages 17.3 points per game, and forward Fousseyni Drame, who leads the team with 5.9 rebounds per game. However, Duquesne’s shooting efficiency has been a concern, as they rank 296th in three-point field goal percentage at 32.8% and 354th in free throw percentage at 69.6%.

The key matchup to watch will be between Dayton’s Holmes II and Duquesne’s Drame, as both players are pivotal to their teams’ success on the boards and in scoring. Defensively, Dayton has the edge, allowing only 64.3 points per game, the best in the conference. Duquesne will need to find a way to penetrate Dayton’s defense and improve their ball movement, which showed promise in their recent win with 16 assists. With both teams eager to assert their presence in the A-10, this game is set to be a showcase of Dayton’s offensive prowess against Duquesne’s quest for consistency and upset potential.

Duquesne Dukes vs. Dayton Flyers Pick

The Dayton Flyers have demonstrated a formidable presence at home with an unblemished 11-0 record, which is a significant factor in this matchup. Their overall performance, with a 19-4 record and a strong showing in conference play, underscores their consistency and ability to close out games. The Flyers’ offensive efficiency, particularly from beyond the arc, combined with their top-ranked conference defense allowing only 64.3 points per game, positions them as the clear favorites. Furthermore, Dayton’s star forward DaRon Holmes II’s impact on both ends of the floor cannot be overstated, and his leadership will be crucial in maintaining their home-court dominance.

While the Duquesne Dukes have shown resilience this season, their recent form, including a 4-6 conference record and a 3-4 road record, suggests they may struggle against a team of Dayton’s caliber. The Dukes’ shooting inefficiencies, especially from the free-throw line and three-point range, could hinder their ability to keep pace with Dayton’s scoring. Although Duquesne has the potential for an upset, the Flyers’ overall statistical advantages and the Dukes’ lackluster performance against the spread (9-13) make a moneyline bet on Dayton the more prudent choice. The historical head-to-head also favors Dayton, adding further confidence to this pick.

The Pick: Dayton Flyers -420. (BetRivers)