The Dolphins are set to face the New England Patriots on Sunday, Oct 29. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on CBS. Miami enters this game as 9.5-point favorites, with the total set at 47. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Dolphins vs Patriots player props and predictions below.
Dolphins VS. Patriots Odds
- Spread: Dolphins -9.5
- Total 47
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Oct 29
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
- TV: CBS
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Patriots Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their five previous road games, New England has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 16 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have a straight-up record of 1-9 and an ATS mark of 1-9.
Dolphins Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their last five home contests, Miami has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3 while averaging 25 points per game.
- Miami has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
Can the Patriots Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?
Heading into their 7th game of the season, the Patriots are 2-5 overall and 1-2 on the road. The Patriots are looking to snap a two-game road losing streak. In the AFC-East, they are in AFC-East place. Taking a look at the Patriots’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -10.9. This has resulted in an ATS record of 2-5.
In their last game, the Patriots came out on top against the Bills, winning by a score of 29-25. Heading into the game, the Patriots were 7.5-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. With the over/under line set at 41 points, the over hit with a combined 54 points.
New England’s offense produced a total of 364 yards against the Bills. When it came to third downs, the Patriots had a conversion rate of 44.4%. The leading rusher for the Patriots was Rhamondre Stevenson with 34 yards, and Mac Jones contributed 272 passing yards.
New England is 22nd in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 25.3 points per game, accumulating 311.3 yards per contest.
Will Miami Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
As week 8 approaches, Miami is in 1st place in the AFC-East, coming in with an overall record of 5-2. In the AFC, they currently reside in 2nd place. The Dolphins’ current scoring margin stands at +7.6, which has them coming in with a 5-2 ATS record.
After their 31-17 loss to the Eagles, the Dolphins are looking to bounce back in week 8. In addition to their 14-point loss, the Dolphins also lost vs. the spread. They were 3-point underdogs heading into the game. In the Dolphins’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 48 points, below the line of 52 points.
Facing the Eagles’ defense, Miami’s offense amassed 244 yards in total. On third downs, the Dolphins converted at a rate of 36.4%. Raheem Mostert led the rushing game with 45 yards, while Tua Tagovailoa threw for 216 yards.
The Dolphins are currently 4th in tackles for loss and 3rd in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 26.7 points per game and gaining 345.3 yards per contest against them.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Player Prop
Kendrick Bourne is up against the Dolphins this week, and his receiving yards prop stands at 45.5 yards.
Bourne ranks 31st among receivers in receiving yards, entering week 8 with 370 yards. Over the span of seven games, he has been targeted an average of 7.3 times per game and comes in sitting 26th in fantasy points at his position. Against a struggling Miami defense, I’m expecting a big performance from Kendrick Bourne and the Patriots passing game. My wager is on the over, with a line at 45.5 yards.
The Prop: Kendrick Bourne Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Dolphins VS. Patriots Predictions
When the lines opened Miami was the 10.5-point favorites on the road. Subsequently, the oddsmakers adjusted the lines to favor them at -9.5.
Despite being favored by 9.5 vs. the Patriots, I don’t like how the Dolphins struggled to move the ball in their last game with only 12 first downs. Our recommendation is to take the Patriots +9.5.
The Pick: Patriots +9.5 | -111 at Fanduel Sportsbook