The Dolphins are set to face the New York Giants on Sunday, Oct 8. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on FOX. Miami enters this game as 12-point favorites with the total set at 47.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Dolphins vs Giants predictions and player props below.
Dolphins vs. Giants Odds
- Spread: Dolphins -12
- Total 47.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Oct 8
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
- TV: FOX
Giants Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Giants have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous road games, New York has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 19 points per game.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Giants have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
Dolphins Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 26 points per game.
- Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
Can New York Lock in a Road Win?
In the NFC-East standings, the Giants find themselves in 4th place with a record of 1-3. In the NFC, New York is in 13th place as week 5 approaches. The Giants’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at -19, putting their ATS record at 0-4.
The Giants will be looking to get back on track week following their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks. With a 21-point loss, the Giants added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 2.5-point underdogs prior to the game. Going into the game vs. Seattle, the over/under line was 46. With a combined total of 27 points, the under hit in this game.
Against the Seahawks’ defense, Daniel Jones led the way with 203 passing yards and a completion rate of 79%. On the ground, the Giants ran the ball 29 times for 112 yards. The team had 6 third-down conversions (37.5%).
The Giants’ defense takes on the Dolphins having given up an average of 30.5 points per game. So far, they are 16th in quarterback hits and are giving up 341.5 yards per contest.
Can the Dolphins Live Up to the Hype at Home?
So far this season, all of Miami’s games have been vs. other AFC teams and this week will be their first non-conference game of the season. Overall, their record is 3-1, putting them 2nd in the AFC-East and 5th in the AFC. At home, they have gone 1-0 so far. The Dolphins have a 3-1 ATS record so far. As we enter week 5, their scoring margin per game is +7.8.
In their most recent game, the Dolphins fell to the Bills by a score of 48-20. With a 28-point loss, the Dolphins added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 3-point underdogs prior to the game. The game’s over/under line was 52.5 points, leading to the over hitting with a combined 68 points.
Miami’s offense generated 393 total yards against the Bills. On third downs, the Dolphins managed a conversion rate of 30%. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing with 101 yards, while Tua Tagovailoa passed for 282 yards.
Defensively, the Dolphins are currently ranked 6th in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks. Their opponents have been putting up an average of 29.8 points per game against them and accumulating 374.5 yards per contest.
Dolphins vs. Giants Player Prop
In this week 5 matchup, De’Von Achane will be facing the Giants with a rushing yards prop of 49.5. Betting on the over yields a payout of -125, while the under pays at -107.
The implied odds for the over are 56%. De’Von Achane faces the Giants as the 29th-ranked running back in rushing attempts for the season, amassing 309 yards. Coming into the game, his average yards per carry stands at 11.
The Giants’ defense is currently allowing an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt. Based on this, I’d bet on taking the over at 49.5 rushing yards.
The Prop: De’Von Achane Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
Dolphins vs. Giants Predictions
Miami initially opened as 8.5-point favorites on their home turf. The lines have shifted in their favor, now standing at -12.
The Dolphins’ juggernaut of an offense hit a speedbump at the Buffalo Bills last week. It could be the exact opposite of a situation while facing a generous Giants defense at home. This is a very high spread for the NFL, but Miami is capable of covering.
The Pick: Dolphins -12 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook
More NFL Props & Predictions
Props.com is stepping up its game for NFL Week 5 by offering a range of articles focused on props and picks, like the following: