Cowboys vs. Commanders Player Props & Predictions – Thursday, Nov 23

Nov 19, 2023; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) waits for a tight end during the first quarter against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.
Image Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

The Cowboys are all set to face off against the Washington Commanders on Thursday, Nov 23. This week 12 game is slated to kick off at 4:30 ET and will be shown on CBS. Dallas enters this contest as an 11-point favorite, and the over/under total stands at 48.5. Can the Commanders come out on top as the favorite? Our Cowboys vs. Commanders player props and predictions can be found below.

Cowboys VS. Commanders Odds

  • Spread: Cowboys -11
  • Total 48.5

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Nov 23
  • Time: 4:30 ET
  • Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
  • TV: CBS

Commanders Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Commanders have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Washington has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 17 points per game while allowing 20. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Commanders have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 4-0-1.

Cowboys Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Cowboys have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • As the betting favorite, the Cowboys have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight-up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Do the Commanders Stand a Chance in Arlington?

In their game against the Cowboys, the Commanders will aim to improve their 4-7 record. This positions them 3rd in the NFC East and 12th in the NFC. The Commanders have a 5-5-1 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -6.3.

Recently, the Commanders played and had a 31-19 loss against the Giants. With the 12-point loss to the Giants, the Commanders also took a loss vs. the spread as 7.5-point favorites. The over/under line for the game was 38.5 points, and the teams managed to surpass it, recording a combined total of 50 points.

On offense, Sam Howell ended with 255 passing yards on a completion rate of 68%. On the ground, the Commanders ran the ball 28 times, amassing 174 yards. The team converted 5 third-downs at a rate of 38.5%.

The Commanders are 29th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 372.8 yards per contest. Washington’s defense comes in with an average of 27.7 points per game allowed, which is 29th in the NFL.

Does Dallas Have What It Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

As they prepare to face the Commanders, the Cowboys hold an overall record of 7-3 and have secured two consecutive victories. Within the NFC East, Dallas is in 2nd place. The Cowboys’ current scoring margin stands at +12.7, which has them coming in with a 7-3 ATS record.

The Cowboys recently secured a victory, defeating the Panthers with a final score of 33-10. The Cowboys were able to cover the spread vs. Carolina, as they went into the game favored by 11. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Carolina was 43.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 43 points.

In their matchup against the Panthers, the Cowboys ran the ball 27 times, with Tony Pollard emerging as the top rusher with 61 yards. In the passing game, Dak Prescott finished with 38 passes, resulting in 189 yards and a passer rating of 95.

Dallas is 5th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 17.5 points per game, accumulating 266.3 yards per contest.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Player Props

As Dak Prescott prepares for the upcoming matchup against Washington, the passing yards over/under are currently set at 265.5. Presently, the payout for surpassing this threshold stands at -114, while it’s -118 for staying below it.

Prescott has recorded 2604 passing yards on 338 throws thus far. His overall completion percentage stands at 70.1%, resulting in a passer rating of 104.0. Look for the Cowboys to put more emphasis on the running game in this one, and for Prescott to have a good game but remain below his passing yards prop.

  • The Prop: Dak Prescott Under 265.5 Passing Yards (-118)

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Cowboys VS. Commanders Predictions

Since the lines opened, Dallas has shifted from being -8.5 point favorites to their current line of -11.

In this game, I’m leaning toward Washington to cover the spread as 11-point underdogs. Coming off a disappointing loss last week, look for Washington to hang around enough to cover the spread in this matchup vs. Dallas.

The Pick: Commanders +11 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook