For your Chiefs vs. Dolphins player props and predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Dolphins hit the road to face the Chiefs on Sunday, Nov 5 at 9:30 ET. Currently, the total sits at 50.5, with the Chiefs favored by 1.5 at home.
Chiefs VS. Dolphins Odds
- Spread: Chiefs -1.5
- Total 50.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Nov 5
- Time: 9:30 ET
- Location: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt None
- TV: NFLN
Dolphins Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 24 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have a straight-up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
Chiefs Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 1-3-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous home games, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 26 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have a strong straight-up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Will Miami Make it Happen on the Road?
Leading up to their matchup with the Chiefs, the Dolphins are 6-2. They currently sit 1st in the AFC-East and are in 2nd place in the AFC. The Dolphins’ current scoring margin stands at +8.4, which has them coming in with a 6-2 ATS record.
The Dolphins hosted the Patriots in week 8. The Dolphins finished the game with a 31-17 win. The Dolphins were able to cover the spread vs. New England, as they went into the game favored by 7.5. Going into the game, the over/under line was 46.5 points with New England, the team’s performance exceeded the over/under line of 48.
In terms of offensive production, Tua Tagovailoa finished with 324 passing yards with a completion rate of 66%. The Dolphins ran the ball 26 times for 78 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 5/14.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Dolphins give up an average of 221.5 passing yards and 107.9 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Miami is currently ranked 3rd in the league. So far, they are giving up 25.5 points per game and 329.4 yards.
Can the Chiefs Live Up to the Hype at Home?
Going into this week 9 AFC matchup, the Chiefs have an overall record of 6-2. In the AFC-West standings, the Chiefs are in 1st place and 1st in the AFC. So far, they have gone 4-1 against AFC opponents and 3-1 at home. The Chiefs have a 5-3 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is +7.2.
This week, the Chiefs aim to recover from their 24-9 loss to the Broncos. Not only did the Chiefs lose the game, but they also didn’t cover the spread as 7-point favorites. The under hit in the Chiefs’ most recent game, as the team’s combined for 33 points. The line going into the game was 45.5.
Kansas City’s offense generated 274 total yards against the Broncos. On third downs, the Chiefs managed a conversion rate of 30%. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing with 40 yards, while Patrick Mahomes passed for 240 yards.
When it comes to yards allowed, the Chiefs rank 4th in the league, conceding an average of 287.8 yards per contest. Kansas City’s defense has allowed 16.1 points per game, which has them 2nd in the NFL.
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Player Prop
Jeff Wilson Jr. will head into his matchup with Chiefs a rushing yards prop of 14.5. The over currently pays out at -126, indicating implied odds of 56%, while the under pays at -107 (52). So far this season, Jeff Wilson Jr. is 64th among running backs in rushing attempts and has 23 yards. He heads into this week’s game, averaging 4 yards per carry. Against a Chiefs rush defense that comes in ranked 18th in rushing yards allowed, I see Wilson Jr. getting plenty of carries and surpassing 14.5 yards.
- The Prop: Jeff Wilson Jr. Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (-126)
Chiefs VS. Dolphins Predictions
Since the lines were initially posted, Kansas City has seen movement from -5.5 point favorites to their current line of -1.5 (-113). Miami, on the other hand, currently stands as +1.5 (-109) point underdogs on the road.
Even though the Chiefs fell short of covering the spread in their most recent game, we see them not only winning straight-up over but also covering the spread as 1.5-point home favorites vs. the Dolphins.
The Pick: Chiefs -1.5 | -113 at Fanduel Sportsbook