The Chiefs are gearing up to take on the Chicago Bears for Week 3 of the NFL season on Sunday, Sept. 24. The game is slated for 4:25 ET and will be broadcast on FOX. Kansas City comes into this game as 12.5-point favorites with the total set at 47. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Chiefs vs. Bears predictions and player props below.
Chiefs vs. Bears Odds
- Spread: Chiefs -12.5
- Total 47
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Sep 24
- Time: 4:25 ET
- Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
- TV: FOX
Bears Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Bears have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten road games, Chicago has an ATS record of just 2-8. However, their overall record was 1-9 while averaging 18 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
Chiefs Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games home from home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 30 points per game in these contests.
- Kansas City has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Will the Bears Exceed Expectations on the Road?
In two games, the Bears have a 0-2 record. This has them situated 4th in the NFC-North and 16th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Bears have a 0-2 record. Heading into week 3, their scoring margin is at -14 (per game).
The Bears travelled to take on the the Buccaneers in week 2 and fell by a score of 27-17. Alongside their 10-point loss, the Bears also suffered an ATS defeat. They were 2.5-point underdogs before the game. With a set over/under line of 40.5 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 44 points, surpassing the betting line.
Offensively, Justin Fields finished with 211 passing yards while completing 55% of his passes. On the ground, the Bears rushed the ball 16 times for 67 yards. The team converted 6 of 13 third-down opportunites.
On defense, the Bears come into the game ranked 8th in tackles for loss and 10th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 32.5 points per game vs. them along with an average of 383.0 yards per contest.
Will the Chiefs Win at Arrowhead Stadium?
With an overall record of 1-1, the Chiefs are 2nd in the AFC-West. This record also has them 7th in the AFC. At home, Kansas City is 0-1 compared to a record of 1-0 on the road. Kansas City’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at +3.5. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 1-1.
The Chiefs played on the road vs. the Jaguars in week 2, winning by a score of 17-9. Kansas City was favored by 3 against the Jaguars and notched an ATS victory. In the matchup with Jacksonville, the pre-game over/under line was 50.5. The under hit, as they combined for 26 points.
Looking at their performance on offense, Patrick Mahomes threw for 305 yards while completing 70% of his passes. On the ground, the Chiefs rushed the ball 22 times for 101 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 4/13.
The Chiefs are 13th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 319.5 yards per contest. Kansas City’s defense comes in with an average of 15 points per game allowed, which is 3rd in the NFL.
Chiefs vs. Bears Player Prop
Heading into this game vs. Chicago, Patrick Mahomes has a passing yards over/under set at 283.5.
Mahomes has recorded 531 passing yards on 80 throws thus far. His overall completion percentage stands at 62.5%, resulting in a passer rating of 88.1.
With the Bears’ defense performing below average in getting off the field on third downs, I’m going with the over on Mahomes’ passing yards prop, which is set at 283.5.
The Prop: Patrick Mahomes Over 283.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Chiefs vs. Bears Predictions
From the time the lines were first established, Kansas City has shifted from -11.5 point favorites to their present line of -12.5 (-111). Meanwhile, Chicago is currently +12.5 (-110) point underdogs on the road.
It is difficult to pick anything but the Chiefs in this game, even considering the large spread. Chicago is an absolute mess right now. Justin Fields has looked completely lost on offense, and there’s controversy surrounding their defensive coordinator abruptly retiring. The Bears will try to pick themselves up to compete against the reigning Super Bowl champs, but this one is shaping up to be a blowout.
The Pick: Chiefs -12.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook
More NFL Props & Predictions
Props.com is stepping up its game for NFL Week 2 by offering a range of articles focused on props and picks, like the following: