Broncos vs. Chiefs Player Props & Predictions – Week 8

Oct 22, 2023; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) leaves the field after the win over the Los Angeles Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Image Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Need a Broncos vs. Chiefs player prop and/or prediction? We’ve got what you need as the Chiefs hit the road to face the Broncos on Sunday, Oct 29 at 4:25 ET. The current total stands at 46.5, with the Chiefs being favored by 7 as they play on the road.

Broncos VS. Chiefs Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -7
  • Total 46.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Oct 29
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver CO
  • TV: CBS

Chiefs Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 2-2-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Broncos Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Broncos have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 0-2-1. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 19 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Broncos have a straight-up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.

Taking a Look at the Chiefs Chances in Denver

In their matchup against the Broncos, the Chiefs aim to build on their 6-1 record. This places them 1st in the AFC-West and 1st in the AFC. The Chiefs’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +10.4, putting their ATS record at 5-2.

The last time Kansas City played, the Chiefs beat the Chargers with a final score of 31-17. Being favored by 6 points against the Chargers, the Chiefs came through with an ATS win. The under hit in the Chiefs’ most recent game, as the teams combined for 48 points. The line going into the game was 48.5.

Facing the Chargers, the Chiefs rushed the ball 21 times, with Isiah Pacheco leading the team with 32 yards. Patrick Mahomes attempted 42 passes, accumulating 424 yards and a passer rating of 129.

The Chiefs’ defense, so far, has an average of 294.6 yards given up per game and 15 points per contest (2nd). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 60.3% and eight passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 16th in the NFL.

Can the Broncos Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

Leading up to their matchup with the Chiefs, the Broncos are 2-5. They currently sit 4th in the AFC-West and are in 16th place in the AFC. The Broncos have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 1-5-1. Their average scoring margin for this season is -9.9.

In their previous game, the Broncos defeated the Packers with a final score of 19-17. The Broncos covered the spread, as they were favored by 1.5 against the Packers. In the matchup with Green Bay, the pre-game over/under line was 44. The under hit, as they combined for 36 points.

On offense, the Broncos finished with 339 yards against the Packers. On third-down situations, the Broncos had a 41.7% conversion rate. Notably, Javonte Williams led the rushing attack with 82 yards, while Russell Wilson passed for 194 yards.

On the defensive side of the ball, Denver currently ranks 29th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 31 points per game while gaining 424.7 yards per contest.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Player Prop

Isiah Pacheco’s prop market against the Broncos has a rushing prop of 64.5.

The implied odds for the over are 53%. So far this season, Isiah Pacheco ranks 7th among running backs in rushing attempts and has rushed for 419 yards. As he gears up for this week’s game, his average yards per carry is 4. With an excellent matchup against the Broncos’ rush defense, I see this as a golden opportunity to hit the over at 64.5 rushing yards.

The Prop: Isiah Pacheco Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Broncos VS. Chiefs Predictions

Since the lines have opened, the Chiefs have moved from -8.5 point favorites to their current line of -7 (-117).

Kansas City enters this matchup as the favored team with a spread sitting at -7, and I believe they will cover it. Kansas City’s offense is coming off a good performance vs. Los Angeles, and I anticipate them carrying that form into this week’s game against Denver.

The Pick: Chiefs -7 | -117 at Fanduel Sportsbook

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