The Toronto Blue Jays (89-73) are set to face off against the Minnesota Twins (87-75) in what promises to be an exciting match-up. The Blue Jays have to come up with a win, as Minnesota won Game 1 and will advance to the AL Divisional Series with another victory.
How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins predictions, odds, and picks below.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
- Moneyline: Minnesota Twins -142 (DraftKings) / Toronto Blue Jays +120 (DraftKings)
- Total: 7.5
Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Oct. 4
- Time: 4:38 PM ET
- Location: Target Field – Minneapolis, MN
- TV: ESPN
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games. They have 63 wins and 54 losses this season as the favorite.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games. They have 67 wins and 45 losses this season as the favorite.
How Long Will Jose Berrios Pitch?
Jose Berrios, the Blue Jays’ right-handed pitcher, is stepping up in against his former team with a win-loss record of 11-12 and an ERA of 3.65. Despite the numbers, Berrios has shown significant improvement in September, lowering his xFIP to 2.8, and increasing his K/9 rate to 10.8. However, he has struggled against lefties, allowing a .322 wOBA. The Twins, with their ability to stack five lefties against Berrios, could pose a significant challenge.
Of course, there’s a chance Berrios gets the early hook after one time through the order, and Toronto puts in left-handed hurler Yusei Kikuchi to counter all of Minnesota’s left-handed bats. Either way, it will definitely be a chess match between both managers.
Sonny Gray Has Been Ace-Like For Minnesota
For the Twins, right-handed pitcher Sonny Gray is stepping onto the mound. With an 8-8 record and a commendable ERA of 2.79, Gray is ready to keep the Twins on their winning path. Gray has been particularly effective in the latter part of the season, lowering his BB/9 rate substantially and walking just 11 total batters in about 67 innings over the past two months. His Location+ over that time span is sitting at 108, which is one of the best marks in baseball.
When it comes to offense, both teams are packing a punch. The Blue Jays have a team batting average of .256, while the Twins, with a batting average of .243, are not far behind. Both teams have proven their ability to score, with the Twins netting 778 runs and the Blue Jays not far behind with 746 runs.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Predictions
With the pitchers’ recent form and the offensive firepower of both teams, this game is shaping up to be a good one. But the Twins, with their home-field advantage and the consistent performance of Sonny Gray, have the edge.
Considering the recent performances and the pitching match-up, the smart money is on the Minnesota Twins. We also lean toward the under of 7.5 total runs, anticipating another low-scoring affair between these sides.
The Pick: Minnesota Twins -142 (DraftKings)