Bills vs. Jaguars Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 5

Oct 1, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) talks with tight end Evan Engram (17) against the Atlanta Falcons in the first half during an NFL International Series game at Wembley Stadium.
Image Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re on the hunt for Bills vs. Jaguars player props and predictions, look no further. The Jaguars are hitting the road to challenge the Bills on Sunday, Oct 8 at 9:30 ET. Currently, the total is 48.5, with the Bills being favored by 5.5.

Bills VS. Jaguars Odds

  • Spread: Bills -5.5
  • Total 48.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Oct 8
  • Time: 9:30 ET
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium — London, UK
  • TV: NFL Network

Jaguars Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Jaguars have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 25 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.

Bills Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Bills have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home games, Buffalo has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Bills have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Will Jacksonville Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

Taking on the Bills, the Jaguars will look to improve on their record of 2-2. This mark has them in 3rd in the AFC-South and 9th in the AFC. The Jaguars currently hold a 2-2 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is -0.5.

In their previous game, the Jaguars defeated the Falcons with a final score of 23-7. Jacksonville was favored by 3.5 against the Falcons and notched an ATS victory. The under hit in the Jaguars’ most recent game, where the teams’ combined total was 30 points. The line prior to the game stood at 42.5.

On offense, Trevor Lawrence ended with 207 passing yards on a completion rate of 76%. On the ground, the Jaguars ran the ball 32 times, amassing 105 yards. The team converted 5 third-downs at a rate of 35.7%.

So far the Jaguars’ defense has given up an average of 333 yards per game and 20.5 points per contest (10th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage of 65.2% and have given up six passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 8th in the NFL.

Will Buffalo Live Up to Expectations at Home?

In four games, the Bills have a 3-1 record. This has them situated 1st in the AFC-East and 3rd in the AFC. The Bills have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 3-1. Their average scoring margin for this season is +21.

In their last game, the Bills hosted the Dolphins and won by a score of 48-20. The Bills covered the spread, as they were favored by 3 against the Dolphins. With the over/under line set at 52.5 points, the over hit with a combined 68 points.

Against the Dolphins, the Bills ran the ball 29 times, with Latavius Murray leading the team with 32 yards. Josh Allen threw the ball 25 times for 320 yards and a passer rating of 158.

Defensively, the Bills come into the game allowing an average of 169.5 passing yards per game and 118.5 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Buffalo ranks 1st among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 13.8 points on 288 yards.

Bills vs. Jaguars Player Prop

We’re placing our bets on the Bills scoring a minimum of three touchdowns.

While we acknowledge the potential risk of Bass missing an extra point or Buffalo choosing a two-point conversion, we’re willing to take that chance. This confidence stems from the possibility of the Bills securing more than three touchdowns, which would provide Bass with some leeway if required.

Notably, Bass has successfully made 16 extra points in the current season’s four games, delivering four or more extra points in each of the past three games.

The Buffalo offense is in top form, and they are now up against Jacksonville, a team that previously allowed three touchdowns to the Colts and four to the Texans.

The prop: Tyler Bass over 2.5 PAT made | +105 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Bills VS. Jaguars Predictions

The Bills opened as 3.5 favorites for this game in London and since then, the oddsmakers have shifted the lines to -5.5 in their favor.

For the point spread, I’m backing Jacksonville at +5.5. I believe the Jacksonville rushing game will take full advantage of the issues in Buffalo’s defense, which had trouble defending the run in their last game. Make your bet now on Jacksonville with +5.5.

The Pick: Jaguars +5.5 | -111 at Fanduel Sportsbook

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