Looking for Bills vs. Buccaneers predictions and picks? We have you covered as the Buccaneers travel to take on the Bills on Thursday, Oct 26 at 8:15 ET. Currently, the total sits at 42.5 with the Bills favored by 8.5 at home.
Bills vs. Buccaneers Odds
- Spread: Bills -8.5
- Total 42.5
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Oct 26
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
- TV: AMAZON
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Buccaneers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 16 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Tampa Bay has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 4-6 straight up.
Bills Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Bills have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last three home games, Buffalo has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 26 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Bills have a straight-up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
Can the Buccaneers Lock in a Win at Orchard Park?
In their matchup against the Bills, the Buccaneers aim to build on their 3-3 record. This places them 2nd in the NFC-South and 7th in the NFC. Thus far this season, the Buccaneers hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 3-3. Their average scoring margin in the current season is -0.2.
The Buccaneers will be looking to get back on track this week following their 16-13 loss to the Falcons. In addition to losing straight-up, the Buccaneers also lost vs. the spread as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under line for their most recent game against Atlanta was 37.5. Finishing with a combined total of 29 points, the under hit in this matchup.
On offense, the Falcons finished with 20 rushing attempts, and Rachaad White was the leading rusher with 34 yards. In the passing game, Baker Mayfield threw the ball 42 times, accumulating 275 yards and a passer rating of 80.
On the defensive front, the Buccaneers enter the game as the 16th-ranked team in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 17.3 points per game against them, along with an average of 342.5 yards per contest.
Will Buffalo Make it Happen at Home?
The Bills come into their matchup against the Buccaneers with a 4-3 record. In the AFC-East, they are 2nd and 7th in the AFC overall standings. When it comes to the spread, the Bills have a 3-4 record. Heading into week 8, their scoring margin is at +11.4 (per game).
Taking a look at their last game, the Bills suffered a 29-25 loss to the Patriots. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Bills also fell short of covering the spread as 7.5-point favorites. With a set over/under line of 41 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 54 points, surpassing the betting line.
Against the Patriots, the Bills ran the ball 24 times, with James Cook as the primary rusher, accumulating 56 yards. Josh Allen attempted 41 passes, amassing 265 yards and a passer rating of 89.
On the defensive front, the Bills enter the game as the 2nd ranked team in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 16.9 points per game against them, along with an average of 329.6 yards per contest.
Bills vs. Buccaneers Player Prop
James Cook has a rushing yards prop of 49.5 for this week’s game.
Across seven games, James Cook has 88 rushing attempts and gained 419 yards. Heading into week 8 he is 11th among running backs in yardage. The Buccaneers defense is currently allowing an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. Based on this, I’d bet on taking the under at 49.5 rushing yards.
The Prop: James Cook Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
More Bills vs. Bucs Prop Bets
Josh Shepardson does a deep dive to find his top three Bills vs. Buccaneers player props for this matchup:
3 Best Bills vs. Buccaneers Player Props – TNF Props (Week 8)
Bills vs. Buccaneers Predictions
Right now, the point spreads for both the Buccaneers and Bills are right where they opened. Currently, the Bills are favored by -8.5 at home while the Buccaneers are +8.5 point road underdogs.
The Bills have looked rough in three straight games: losing against the Jaguars in London, barely beating the Giants at home, and then falling to struggling Patriots team last Sunday. While Buffalo certainly has the talent and motivation to bounce back, I’m not sure they should be favored by 8.5 against most of the teams in the NFL with the way they are playing at the moment.
Let’s take the Bucs to keep this one close and cover the spread.
The Pick: Bucs +8.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook