Player props and DFS picks in the WNBA offer one of the most beatable areas in all of sports, so in this free article series, we’ll be breaking down the best WNBA props today.
While NBA props are subject to sharp numbers and massive volume, WNBA props often lag behind in pricing accuracy, especially early in the season and during weekday slates. The operators sometimes simply don’t dedicate the same algorithmic or human resources to these projections, which gives informed players a rare edge.
Best WNBA Props Today – Free Player Picks & Analysis
Looking for the best WNBA player props today? Our Props team breaks down their top WNBA prop picks every day throughout the season.
Best WNBA Player Props Today: Sunday, July 6
Every day during the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite WNBA player props.
A’ja Wilson Recent Games and Stats
A’ja Wilson is averaging 22.1 points, 9.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 2.5 blocks, and 1.8 steals in 31.8 minutes over 14 games this season. She hits 0.3 3-pointers per game in 1.5 attempts (19%).
Wilson had 29 points (9-of-18 FG, 11-of-13 FT), three rebounds, one assist, and one block across 26 minutes on Thursday’s 81-54 road loss against the Fever. She was the only player for the Aces to score in double figures. The star center scored more than half of the team’s points in one of their worst losses this season. The reigning WNBA MVP has scored 29 or more points in three games this season.
She’s averaging 22 points, nine rebounds, four assists, 3.5 steals, and 2.5 blocks in 28.2 minutes over two games against the Sun this season. She hits 0.0 3-pointers in 1.5 attempts (0%).
A’ja Wilson Player Props
Wilson’s game is defined by elite footwork, mid-post versatility, and rim protection instincts that few players in the league can match. She thrives when attacking from face-up positions, blending jab steps, high release points, and quick spins that force defenses into early help rotations. She draws contact consistently and punishes teams from the free-throw line.
Defensively, her timing as a shot-blocker is impeccable—she rotates swiftly and disrupts shots without fouling. Off-ball, she can anticipate passing lanes and create transition chances with deflections and steals. She’s also a vocal defensive leader who anchors her team’s paint coverage and communicates switches effectively.
Wilson is projected to remain an unstoppable interior scorer and elite paint presence against the Sun. Expect her to punish mismatches with physicality and polish while dictating the pace defensively with her elite instincts and rim control.
Pick: A’ja Wilson to Record a Double-Double | FanDuel
Angel Reese Recent Games and Stats
Angel Reese is averaging 12.4 points, 12.6 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.8 steals in 30.8 minutes over 16 games this season. She hits 0.3 3-pointers per game in 0.9 attempts (26.7 percent).
Reese exploded for 24 points (10-of-19 FG, 0-of-2 3Pt, 4-of-4 FT), 16 rebounds, seven assists, two blocks, and one steal in 38 minutes on Sunday’s 92-85 road win against the Sparks.
The star forward continues her run of dominance on the glass, recording her fourth consecutive game with at least 15 rebounds (the longest streak in WNBA history). She’s also picked up her scoring output as of late, joining A’ja Wilson, Jonquel Jone,s and Lisa Leslie as the only players with a least 15 points and 15 rebounds in three straight games. Reese is averaging 17.3 points, 17.5 rebounds, 4.8 assists, and 2.3 steals in 34.3 minutes over her last four games.
The 23-year-old averaged 13.5 points, 17.5 rebounds, and 1.5 assists in 36.7 minutes over two games against the Lynx last season.
Angel Reese Player Props
Reese’s most dominant strength is her rebounding, where she combines physicality, anticipation, and relentless motor to overwhelm opponents on both ends of the floor. Her second-jump quickness and nose for the ball make her one of the league’s top glass controllers.
She thrives in high-effort environments, securing extra possessions and turning broken plays into second-chance scoring. Her passing from the high post and short roll has shown growth, allowing her to find cutters and shooters with increasing confidence. As a scorer, she brings physical finishes, touch around the rim, and a willingness to attack in transition.
Reese is projected to continue her elite interior presence. Expect her to dominate the boards and contribute as a high-volume rebounder with reliable finishing and improved playmaking from the frontcourt against the Lynx.
While her numbers will eventually regress, she’ll remain one of the league’s most punishing rebounders and a growing offensive hub in the halfcourt. Look for her to set the physical tone while maintaining double-double consistency on Sunday.
Pick: Angel Reese Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists | FanDuel
Saturday, July 5 – WNBA Picks and Preview
Every day during the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite WNBA player props.
Kelsey Plum Recent Games and Stats
Kelsey Plum is averaging 20.1 points, 5.7 assists, 3.2 rebounds, and 1.4 steals in 35.9 minutes over 17 games this season. She hits 2.4 3-pointers per game in 7.2 attempts (32.5%).
Plum had 13 points (2-of-10 FG, 0-of-4 3Pt, 9-of-10 FT), eight assists, and seven rebounds across 35 minutes on Thursday’s 89-79 road loss against the Liberty.
The star guard struggled with her shooting, but she made up for it in other areas. Plum came three rebounds and two assists shy of a triple-double. She’s recorded at least eight assists in four games this season.
Plum had 21 points, six assists, and three rebounds across 35 minutes in an 85-75 road win against the Fever on June 26. She was 6-of-11 from the field and 3-of-6 from 3-point range.
Kelsey Plum Player Props
The two-time WNBA champion thrives as an aggressive shot-creator with a scorer’s mindset and a quick-trigger release from deep. She can break defenders down off the dribble and shift gears quickly, creating space for mid-range pull-ups or kick-outs.
Plum’s ability to attack with both hands, finish through contact, and draw fouls gives her a constant presence at the rim or free-throw line. In transition, she’s decisive and explosive, often pushing pace to exploit mismatches or lagging defenders. She reads help-side rotations well, opening passing angles to shooters or cutters, and balances scoring with timely playmaking.
Plum is projected to continue producing high-end value as both a primary scorer and facilitator. Expect her to lead the backcourt with decisive drives and rhythm 3-point shooting while maintaining a heavy offensive workload against the Fever.
Pick: Kelsey Plum Over 24.5 Points + Assists | FanDuel
Napheesa Collier Recent Games and Stats
Napheesa Collier is averaging 24.6 points, 8.2 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 1.7 steals, and 1.5 blocks in 33.4 minutes over 14 games this season. She hits 1.4 3-pointers per game in 3.8 attempts (37.7%).
Collier had 28 points (11-of-21 FG, 1-of-5 3Pt, 5-of-5 FT), five rebounds, four assists, two blocks and one steal across 31 minutes on Thursday’s 92-75 home win against the Mystics. She was the only player on both teams with at least 10 successful field goals.
The star forward had 24 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, and two steals across 37 minutes in an 86-75 road win against the Valkyries on June 1. She shot 8-of-18 and 2-of-4 from beyond the arc.
Napheesa Collier Player Props
Collier is an elite two-way forward with the complete modern toolkit. Her inside-out scoring versatility allows her to dominate with footwork, touch, and timing around the rim while spacing the floor effectively as a confident shooter beyond the arc.
She can initiate offense out of face-ups or pick-and-rolls, punishing slower defenders and exploiting gaps in off-ball coverage. Her high motor makes her an active presence on the glass, and she often pushes transition opportunities herself. She’s also a polished passer, consistently reading doubles or pressure and feeding cutters with timing and accuracy.
Though she moves well laterally, she can get stretched thin when defending quicker guards or covering ground late in the shot clock. Still, her athletic foundation and basketball IQ continue to raise her ceiling as one of the most impactful frontcourt players in the league.
Collier is projected to remain a dominant, high-usage force. Expect her to lead all phases of the offense against the Valkyries while anchoring the defense with timely help-side rotations and glass control.
Pick: Napheesa Collier to Score 20+ Points | FanDuel
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WNBA Player Props: What To Know
Before diving into numbers, you need to understand how the WNBA’s format and roster structure impact props. Fewer teams, a shorter season, and heavier reliance on starters all shape how props are set—and how you should attack them.
- 13 teams, 44 games per season (in 2025): Smaller sample sizes make trends easier to spot but also demand quick adaptation.
- Star-dominant rotations: Unlike the NBA’s frequent load management, WNBA stars often play heavy minutes—35+ MPG is normal for top-tier players.
- Condensed rotations: Most teams use 7–8 players consistently. That means injury news creates bigger swings in usage rates and prop outcomes than in deeper leagues.
- Fewer back-to-backs: Game scheduling allows stars to play more regularly without rest days, which boosts reliability when betting overs.
Key Stats to Track for Successful WNBA Betting
Raw stat averages won’t give you the full edge. To consistently beat prop lines, you need to understand not just what a player produces—but how, why, and against whom. These are the core metrics that actually matter in 2025 WNBA betting.
Usage Percentage
This is your cornerstone stat for scoring props. Players with high usage dominate possessions, touch the ball frequently, and are the first scoring option. In 2024, Kahleah Copper, A’ja Wilson, and Chennedy Carter led the league in usage percentage.
Tip: Compare usage percentage with minutes per game. A player with a 31.1% usage rate playing 32.4 minutes (like Kahleah Copper in 2024) is far more likely to cash a scoring prop than someone with similar usage but fewer minutes.
Rebounds Per Game and Opponent FG%
With no access to rebound chances or rebounding rate data in the WNBA, your best angles are actual rebounds per game, opponent field goal percentage, and team rebounding volume.
- Angel Reese led the league with 13.1 RPG in 2024.
- A’ja Wilson ranked second with 11.9 RPG.
- Chicago Sky and New York Liberty led the league in team rebounding with 36.6 RPG.
Low opponent FG% creates more missed shots, which means more rebound chances. That gives rebound props value when a strong rebounder faces an inefficient offense.
Assists Per Game and Ball-Handling Role
Actual assist numbers and role clarity offer plenty of betting value.
- Caitlin Clark led the league with 8.4 assists per game last season.
- Alyssa Thomas (7.9 APG) and Natasha Cloud (6.9 APG) followed close behind.
- Sabrina Ionescu rounded out the top five with 6.2 APG.
Look for high-assist players who dominate possessions and initiate plays. You can also gain value by fading secondary ballhandlers in games where usage is shared.
Team and Opponent Pace
More possessions = more opportunities for points, rebounds, assists, and made threes. Pace stats tell you how many trips up the court teams average per 40 minutes.
Target overs in games involving teams like the Las Vegas Aces, Los Angeles Sparks, and Seattle Storm, all of which played at a top-five pace in 2024. Slower matchups (like Minnesota vs. Atlanta or Connecticut) are better for unders on volume stats.
Opponent Positional Matchups
Some teams are consistently bad against specific positions. For example:
- Guards feasted against the Indiana Fever backcourt in 2024.
- Bigs routinely put up strong rebounding and scoring numbers against Dallas and Phoenix.
Use recent box scores, player logs, and betting performance histories to identify teams that allow strong production from players in certain positions.
Timing Matters: When to Bet WNBA Props
Prop betting isn’t just about what you bet—it’s when you bet it. Knowing the optimal windows for attacking the market can be the difference between grabbing a soft line and chasing a stale number.
Opening Lines (Early Value)
Books often release WNBA props the morning of a game. That’s when the lines are softest. Jump on overs for role players stepping into new minutes before news gets baked into the line.
After Injury News Impacts
WNBA depth charts are shallow. If a starter is ruled out, the ripple effects are immediate and measurable. The sixth player suddenly becomes the second scoring option, and books are often slow to adjust.
Example: If Sabrina Ionescu is ruled out for the Liberty, Natasha Cloud and Marine Johannes both see significant upticks in usage and assist opportunities.
Late Market Steam (Fade or Follow Carefully)
Once a line moves significantly—say, a points line jumps from 14.5 to 16.5—be cautious. Don’t chase steam blindly. Sometimes you’re better off passing than betting into a line that’s lost its edge.
WNBA Prop Types and Strategy By Category
Each stat category behaves differently in the WNBA. Understanding how to approach each type of prop lets you build a sharper and more efficient betting card.
Points Props
Most straightforward, but often inflated for stars. Look for inefficiencies in mid-tier players with increased roles or favorable matchups.
- Target high-usage, high-minute players in pace-up matchups.
- Bet overs for players facing poor perimeter or interior defenses.
- Unders are valuable when a player’s role shrinks due to rotation changes or tough matchups (e.g., facing Breanna Stewart or Ezi Magbegor inside).
Rebounds Props
Look beyond averages. Use:
- Opponent FG%
- Shot volume
- Low shooting percentages = more rebound chances.
Assists Props
Unlike the NBA, WNBA assist tracking is limited — but assist props are still beatable if you focus on who actually handles the ball and creates offense. Use:
- Assists Per Game – In 2024, Caitlin Clark (8.4), Alyssa Thomas (7.9), and Natasha Cloud (6.9) led the league. These are primary facilitators playing heavy minutes.
- Minutes + Role – Look for players who run the offense and stay on the floor 30+ minutes per night. For example, Alyssa Thomas initiates most of Connecticut’s offense despite being a forward. (She is now with the Mercury and will likely do the same).
- Game Pace and Matchup – Fast-paced matchups (like vs. Indiana or Vegas) lead to more possessions and assist chances. Also look for teams with weak on-ball defense that allow a high number of assists.
- Recent Trends – Did a player just shift to a new lineup spot (e.g., starting PG due to injury)? That usage jump might not be baked into the lines yet.
3-Pointers Made Props
Only a few players consistently attempt 6+ 3-pointers per game. Look for:
- Teams Opponent Shooting Percentage
- Matchups where defenders sag off
- Players who get extended run due to blowouts or injury absences
Situational Angles For WNBA
Sometimes it’s not just stats that tell the story—certain matchups, emotional edges, or game formats can produce unique betting opportunities.
Blowout Games
In lopsided spreads (10+ points), starters might sit early in the fourth. Look to fade points props for stars and take overs for bench players whose minutes spike in garbage time.
Revenge or Narrative Games
WNBA players, like their NBA peers, rise to the occasion in certain matchups. If a player is returning to face a former team or rival, motivation may lead to increased usage and shot attempts.
Second Leg of Home-and-Home
When teams play each other twice in a row, adjustments are key. Defensive schemes tighten, and scoring often drops. Consider unders on volume shooters or assist props if passing lanes get clogged.
Tools and Resources For WNBA Picks
You don’t need to handicap everything manually. These tools save time and bring consistency to your research so you can act quickly when markets shift.
- WNBA Stats Site (stats.wnba.com): For advanced data, including usage, shooting zones, and play-type frequencies.
- ESPN WNBA Box Scores: For historical context and player trends.
- Beat reporters and team X accounts: For lineup changes and late-breaking injury news.
Bankroll Strategy for WNBA Props
Your betting edge means nothing without discipline. If you don’t manage your units, variance will catch up no matter how sharp your picks are.
- Flat betting: Bet the same unit size on each prop to avoid volatility.
- Limit overs: Don’t blindly bet overs just because it’s fun. The best value is often in unders that the public avoids.
- Track CLV (closing line value): If you consistently beat the closing number, you’re on the right path—even if the early results are volatile.
Final Thoughts
Betting on WNBA props is all about information, timing, and niche awareness. You’re not trying to outsmart the sharpest NBA lines—you’re navigating a market that often reacts slower and offers more value to those who dig deep.
If you learn how to interpret advanced metrics, follow team-specific trends, monitor injury impact, and apply strict bankroll discipline, WNBA props can become a profitable long-term betting angle—especially during the summer when many bettors shift their attention elsewhere.