Of all the markets for touchdown scorers, it’s possible the most underrated one is last to score. Obviously, there’s a lot of guesswork that goes into this prop. But there’s also strategy we’ll break down in this best last touchdown scorer bets article.
Basically, ask yourself how you expect the game to go. Create a scenario. What player, then, benefits most from that scenario?
Answer that question, and you might have yourself a bet.
With that in mind, here are some of our favorite last touchdown scorer props we have our eye on for this week.
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Last Touchdown Scorer Bets: Wildcard Weekend
Our staff runs through their best last touchdown scorer bets.
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Wildcard Weekend content linked below.
Monday Slate
Kyren Williams Last-TD Scorer (+485)
Super Wild Card Weekend will end on Monday night with a game with a slight spread. It should be close throughout if it goes according to the betting expectations. Furthermore, when these teams played in Week 8, it was a one-score game through most of the fourth quarter until Sam Darnold took a safety with 1:36 left in the game, and there was a missed facemask on the play.
The Rams and Vikings should be able to play their preferred brand of football throughout the entire contest, including on a potential game-winning touchdown drive to end the contest. The Rams prefer to lean on Kyren Williams and the running game.
According to RotoViz’s pace app, Los Angeles had the fourth-highest situation-neutral rush rate (51%) on 384 plays since Week 10. Sean McVay also trusts the running game in scoring territory. According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, on 34 plays inside the 10-yard line from Week 10 through Week 17, the Rams had a 50% rush rate.
Of course, the running game for the Rams is Williams. In Week 1 through Week 17, Williams handled 316 of LA’s backfield’s 382 rush attempts (93.2%) and 74.1% of the team’s rush attempts inside the five-yard line. He turned his hefty workload into 14 rushing touchdowns. Williams also had two receiving touchdowns. There’s a high probability that if the Rams score the game’s final touchdown, Williams will be the one to splash paydirt.
Where to play: Kyren Williams Last-TD Scorer | Fliff