Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Wednesday, Mar. 20

Feb 13, 2024; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Stars center Tyler Seguin (91) smiles after a goal is scored by left wing Mason Marchment (not pictured) against the Carolina Hurricanes during the second period at the American Airlines Center.
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Arizona Coyotes hit the road to face the Dallas Stars.

The Dallas Stars (41-19-9) are set to host the Arizona Coyotes (28-35-5) in a clash that pits a playoff-bound team against an underdog. With the Stars aiming to solidify their postseason positioning and the Coyotes looking to play spoiler, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle on the ice.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Odds Info

Moneyline: Arizona Coyotes +250 (BetRivers) / Dallas Stars -285 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Arizona Coyotes -105 (Bet365) / Dallas Stars -110 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.5 – -118 (BetRivers) / +100 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Mar. 20

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: American Airlines Center – Dallas, TX


Arizona Coyotes Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Arizona Coyotes have 11 wins and 24 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Arizona Coyotes have 19 wins and 35 losses.
  • This season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 38 overs and 30 unders.

Dallas Stars Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Dallas Stars have 20 wins and 14 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Dallas Stars have 38 wins and 21 losses.
  • This season, the Dallas Stars have hit 40 overs and 29 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Arizona Coyotes and Dallas Stars have faced off a total of five times, with the Stars emerging victorious in all encounters. These matchups have taken place between November 3, 2022, and November 14, 2023. The Dallas Stars have consistently been the dominant team, not only winning each game but also covering the spread in four out of the five games. The Coyotes managed to cover the spread only once. When it comes to the over/under betting aspect, bettors who wagered on the over would have been pleased to see that four of these games resulted in a total score that exceeded the set over/under line, with only one game falling under. The home team secured three wins, while the visiting team took two, indicating a relatively balanced outcome in terms of game location. Key statistics from these games show that the Stars have been able to maintain a strong offensive presence, with a notable performance in the game on November 3, 2022, where they scored seven goals against the Coyotes. The Coyotes, on the other hand, have struggled to keep up, with their best offensive output being three goals in the most recent game.

The most recent game between the Arizona Coyotes and Dallas Stars took place on November 14, 2023, and it was a tightly contested affair that ended in a 4-3 overtime victory for the Stars. The game saw the Coyotes take an early lead with a goal from Clayton Keller, but the Stars managed to tie and then take the lead, only for the Coyotes to fight back and send the game into overtime. Ultimately, it was Matt Duchene of the Stars who scored the game-winning goal in overtime. The Stars were the favorites to win, as indicated by the closing moneyline of -210 compared to the Coyotes’ +170. The game also went over the set over/under line of 6.5, with a total of seven goals scored. The Coyotes covered the spread as the underdogs, with the closing spread set at -1.5 in favor of the Stars. The game was evenly matched in terms of shots on goal, with the Stars taking 36 shots to the Coyotes’ 26, and both teams had similar faceoff win percentages.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Predictions

The Dallas Stars enter this game with a strong record, sitting comfortably in playoff contention within the Central Division. They’ve been particularly formidable at the American Airlines Center, boasting a 20-10-4 home record. The Stars’ offense has been led by left winger Jason Robertson, who tops the team with 68 points, while center Roope Hintz has been a key goal scorer with 26 goals. Defensively, Dallas ranks among the top teams in the conference, which will be crucial as they face a Coyotes team that has shown flashes of offensive potential.

On the other side, the Arizona Coyotes have had a challenging season but come into this game on a two-game winning streak, giving them a boost of confidence. Right winger Clayton Keller has been the standout performer for the Coyotes, leading the team with 27 goals and 59 points. Left winger Matias Maccelli has also been a bright spot, contributing a team-high 35 assists. While their overall record is not impressive, the Coyotes have demonstrated they can compete, especially with their recent uptick in performance.

This game will feature a key matchup between the Stars’ potent power play unit and the Coyotes’ penalty kill. Special teams could very well decide the outcome, with both teams looking to capitalize on their opportunities. As the Stars push for a higher seed in the playoffs, they’ll rely on their depth and home-ice advantage, while the Coyotes aim to disrupt their plans and continue building positive momentum towards the end of the season.

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Pick

Despite the Dallas Stars being the clear favorites with a strong home record and a solid position in the standings, the value lies in the Arizona Coyotes moneyline bet. The Coyotes are on a two-game winning streak and have shown they can be competitive, particularly with Clayton Keller leading the charge. While historically the Stars have had the upper hand, the Coyotes’ recent form and the potential for high returns on the underdog bet make it an enticing pick. The Coyotes have also managed to cover the spread in their last encounter, indicating they can keep the game close, which could lead to an upset victory.

Furthermore, the Stars have shown some vulnerability, with a less than stellar against the spread (ATS) record this season. The Coyotes’ ATS performance, on the other hand, suggests they are often underestimated by the odds. With the game also featuring key matchups on special teams, an area where the Coyotes could capitalize, there’s a chance for Arizona to disrupt the Stars’ rhythm. Considering the potential payout and the Coyotes’ recent uptick in performance, the Arizona moneyline bet offers a high-risk but high-reward opportunity that could pay off for bettors looking for value.

The Pick: Arizona Coyotes +250 (BetRivers)

Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Arizona Coyotes

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Logan Cooley Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -175 +135 2.5 2.38
Nick Schmaltz Assists 0.5 7/10 +120 -150 1.0 0.97
Nick Schmaltz Points 0.5 7/10 -145 +114 1.3 1.20
Dylan Guenther Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 +105 -135 2.9 2.82
Nick Bjugstad Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -166 +130 2.6 2.40

Dallas Stars

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Jason Robertson Points 0.5 8/10 -215 +165 1.1 1.14
Jamie Benn Points 0.5 7/10 -120 -110 1.1 1.17
Wyatt Johnston Points 0.5 8/10 -130 +100 1.3 1.20
Wyatt Johnston Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -166 +130 3.9 4.03
Jamie Benn Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -195 +150 2.7 2.83