Air Force vs. Utah State Picks and Predictions – Friday, Mar. 01

Feb 27, 2024; Fresno, California, USA; Utah State Aggies guard Mason Falslev (12) holds onto a rebound next to forward Great Osobor (1) against the Fresno State Bulldogs in the second half at the Save Mart Center.
Image Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Air Force Falcons vs. Utah State Aggies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Air Force Falcons hit the road to face the Utah State Aggies.

The Air Force Falcons (9-18) are set to face off against the Utah State Aggies (23-5) in a Mountain West clash. With the Aggies riding a 2-game winning streak and the Falcons looking to rebound from a recent loss, this matchup presents a critical juncture for both teams.

Air Force Falcons vs. Utah State Aggies Odds Info

Moneyline: Air Force Falcons +1100 (BetRivers) / Utah State Aggies -1499 (PointsBet)

Spread: -16 – Air Force Falcons -110 (BetRivers) / Utah State Aggies -105 (DraftKings)

Total: 138.5 – -110 (FanDuel) / -108 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Friday, Mar. 01

Time: 11:00 PM

Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum – Logan, UT

TV: Fox Sports 1

Air Force Falcons Betting Trends

  • On the road, Air Force Falcons are 5 and 6 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Air Force Falcons are 8 and 19.
  • Against the spread on the road, Air Force Falcons are 6 and 6.

Utah State Aggies Betting Trends

  • At home, Utah State Aggies are 12 and 1 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Utah State Aggies are 13 and 11.
  • Against the spread at home, Utah State Aggies are 9 and 4.

Air Force Falcons vs. Utah State Aggies Predictions

The Air Force Falcons head into the game with a challenging task ahead as they take on the Utah State Aggies, who boast an impressive 23-5 overall record and an 11-4 conference record. The Falcons, with a 9-18 overall and a 2-13 conference record, are looking to upset the Aggies’ rhythm. Utah State, with a strong 12-1 home record, will rely on their star player Great Osobor, who leads the team with an average of 17.9 points and 9.2 rebounds per game, to maintain their dominance at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum.

Utah State’s offensive prowess is evident as they rank 57th in average points with 79.5 and 38th in average assists with 16.6 per game. Their defense is also notable, particularly against the 3-point shot, holding opponents to a 28% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Air Force, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, ranking 314th in defensive efficiency, and will need to find a way to contain Osobor and the Aggies’ offense. The Falcons’ reliance on perimeter scoring, with a 36.5% 3-point shooting percentage, will be tested against Utah State’s stringent 3-point defense.

The game will also feature a key player matchup between Utah State’s Darius Brown II, who averages 6.3 assists per game, and Air Force’s Ethan Taylor, who contributes 14.4 points per game. The Falcons will need significant contributions from their leading scorers and a tightened defense to compete with the Aggies. With both teams eager to make a statement in the Mountain West, this game promises to be a compelling contest of contrasting styles and strategies.

Air Force Falcons vs. Utah State Aggies Pick

Considering the Utah State Aggies’ dominant home record of 12-1 and their overall performance this season, the smart money is on them to win on the moneyline. The Aggies have proven to be a formidable force at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, and with Great Osobor leading the charge, they have the offensive and defensive capabilities to control the game against the Air Force Falcons. Utah State’s defense against the 3-point shot is particularly noteworthy, and given Air Force’s reliance on perimeter scoring, this matchup leans heavily in favor of the Aggies. The Falcons’ defensive struggles, ranking 314th in defensive efficiency, further tilt the odds towards a Utah State victory.

Historically, Utah State has also shown the ability to pull through in close games, boasting an 8-0 record in games decided by five points or less. While the Air Force Falcons have had a couple of surprising wins this season, their inconsistency and poor defensive record make it difficult to justify a bet on their moneyline, especially when facing a team with the caliber of Utah State. The Aggies’ strong ATS record at home (9-4) and their ability to outperform expectations make them the clear choice for this game. Therefore, a moneyline bet on the Utah State Aggies is the recommended pick, as they are poised to continue their winning ways and secure another home victory.

The Pick: Utah State Aggies -1499. (PointsBet)