Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Jan. 02

Nov 4, 2023; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos (91) skates with the puck in the second period against the Ottawa Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre.
Image Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the Winnipeg Jets.

The Winnipeg Jets (22-9-4) are set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning (18-15-5) in a thrilling NHL showdown. As the Jets look to extend their 2-game winning streak, the Lightning aim to build on their recent victory and climb higher in the Eastern Conference standings.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning +115 (PointsBet) / Winnipeg Jets -130 (BetRivers)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -210 (PointsBet) / Winnipeg Jets +180 (BetMGM)

Total: 6.0 – -105 (Bet365) / -115 (Bet365)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Jan. 02

Time: 08:00 PM

Location: Canada Life Centre – Winnipeg, MB

TV: ESPN+

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 7 wins and 12 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 7 wins and 10 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 19 overs and 19 unders.

Winnipeg Jets Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Winnipeg Jets have 12 wins and 7 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Winnipeg Jets have 15 wins and 6 losses.
  • This season, the Winnipeg Jets have hit 17 overs and 18 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Winnipeg Jets and Tampa Bay Lightning have faced off three times, with the Jets emerging victorious in all encounters. These matchups occurred within the regular season games, spanning from January 6, 2023, to November 22, 2023. In these contests, the Jets have consistently outperformed the Lightning, not only in terms of wins but also against the spread, with Winnipeg covering the spread in each game. The home team has claimed victory once, while the visiting team has taken the win twice, indicating a slight edge for the visitors in this matchup. The over/under betting results have leaned towards the under, with two of the three games not surpassing the predetermined point total. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Jets have demonstrated a strong power play, particularly in the most recent game where they converted 50% of their opportunities. The Lightning, on the other hand, have shown a perfect penalty kill in the latest game but have struggled to translate this into wins.

The most recent game between the Winnipeg Jets and Tampa Bay Lightning took place on November 22, 2023, with the Jets securing a narrow 3-2 victory in overtime. The Jets’ goals were scored by Josh Morrissey, Mark Scheifele, and Adam Lowry, with Morrissey and Scheifele netting goals in the first period and Lowry delivering the game-winner in overtime. The Lightning’s goals came from their key players, Steven Stamkos and Brayden Point. In this tightly contested game, the Jets capitalized on their power play chances, while the Lightning maintained a strong penalty kill. The Jets also led in blocked shots and hits, suggesting a more physical game, whereas the Lightning had an edge in takeaways and shots on goal. Despite the Lightning’s efforts, the Jets’ goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, had an impressive save percentage of 0.939, contributing significantly to the win. This game highlighted the competitive nature of the matchups between these two teams and set the stage for their upcoming game.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets Predictions

The Jets have been flying high, boasting a strong record and sitting comfortably near the top of the Central Division. Their recent form, with points in eight of their last ten games, demonstrates their consistency and resilience. Mark Scheifele has been a standout, leading the team in goals and points, and will be a key player to watch in this matchup. Winnipeg’s defense has been formidable, and their goaltending, led by Connor Hellebuyck, has been a significant factor in their success this season.

On the other side, the Tampa Bay Lightning are not the dominant force they once were, but they remain a dangerous team. With high-end skill from players like Nikita Kucherov, who leads the team in goals, assists, and points, the Lightning have the firepower to challenge any opponent. Their special teams have been a saving grace, with a power play that ranks among the league’s best. However, their 5-on-5 play has been mediocre, which could be an area of concern against a Jets team that excels at even strength.

This game features a compelling goaltender matchup, with Hellebuyck’s recent upswing in form for the Jets and Andrei Vasilevskiy’s quest to return to his Vezina Trophy-winning ways for the Lightning. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and it will be interesting to see which side can exploit the other’s vulnerabilities. With the Jets’ structured play and the Lightning’s special teams prowess, this game could come down to a battle of discipline and execution.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets Pick

The Winnipeg Jets have shown a level of consistency and structure that makes them the favorable pick in this matchup. With a strong home record and a recent performance that includes points in eight of their last ten games, the Jets have the momentum and the home-ice advantage. Their ability to play effectively at 5-on-5, coupled with Hellebuyck’s impressive goaltending, gives them the edge over the Lightning, who have struggled in even-strength situations this season. Additionally, the Jets’ power play has been potent, and if they can draw penalties, they have the special teams capability to capitalize on those opportunities.

While the Lightning have the high-end skill of Kucherov and a top-tier power play, their mediocre 5-on-5 play and recent inability to cover the spread in games against the Jets are concerning. The historic head-to-head data supports the Jets’ dominance in recent matchups, and there’s little to suggest a deviation from this trend, especially with the Jets’ current form. Considering these factors, the smart money is on the Winnipeg Jets to continue their strong play and secure a win at home.

The Pick: Winnipeg Jets -130. (BetRivers)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Victor Hedman Assists 0.5 7/10 -125 -105 1.1 1.02
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 7/10 -160 +124 1.1 0.99
Anthony Cirelli Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -135 +105 2.1 2.03
Brayden Point Points 0.5 7/10 -200 +154 0.9 0.84

Winnipeg Jets

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Cole Perfetti Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -166 +130 2.8 2.40
Gabriel Vilardi Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 -125 -105 3.0 3.07
Josh Morrissey Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -115 -115 3.1 3.10