The Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints will matchup on Sunday, Dec 31. Kickoff for the game is 1:00 ET and will be shown on FOX. Tampa Bay is favored by 2.5 points in this game, and the total is 42.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Buccaneers vs. Saints player props and predictions.
Buccaneers VS. Saints Odds
- Spread: Buccaneers -2.5
- Total 42.5
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Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec 31
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
- TV: FOX
Saints Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Saints have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games away from home, the Saints have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 18 points per game in these contests.
- The last three games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Tampa Bay has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 26 points per game while allowing 27. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
- In their last three contests as the favorite, Tampa Bay has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But they still put together a straight-up mark of 2-1.
Will the Saints Defense Show Up on the Road?
The Saints enter their matchup against the Buccaneers with a 7-8 record. This mark puts them 3rd in NFC-South. In the NFC overall standings, they are 11th. New Orleans’ scoring margin up to this point is currently at +2.3. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 4-10-1.
Last time they played, the Saints were handed a 30-22 loss by the Rams. The Saints had an 8-point loss, resulting in a defeat on their ATS record. They were 4-point underdogs going into the game. With a set over/under line of 45.5 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 52 points, surpassing the betting line.
Facing the Rams defense, New Orleans’ offense amassed 339 yards in total. On third downs, the Saints converted at a rate of 45.5%. Alvin Kamara led the rushing game with 19 yards, while Derek Carr threw for 319 yards.
Heading into this week’s matchup with the Buccaneers, the Saints defense has given up an average of 19.8 points per game. They are currently 21st in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 321.6 yards per contest.
Will Tampa Bay Live Up to Expectations at Home?
As they face the Saints, the Buccaneers will be looking to improve upon their 8-7 record. This has them positioned 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. The Buccaneers hold a 10-5 record against the spread. As we approach week 17, their scoring margin stands at +1.6 per game.
Most recently, the Buccaneers faced off against the Jaguars at home. This game ended in a 30-12 win for Tampa Bay. Despite being underdogs by 2, the Buccaneers both won outright and covered the spread. The under bettors were successful in the Buccaneers’ most recent game, with a combined total of 42 points. The game’s betting line was 43.5.
In their matchup against the Jaguars, the Buccaneers ran the ball 36 times, with Rachaad White emerging as the top rusher with 39 yards. In the passing game, Baker Mayfield finished with 35 passes, resulting in 283 yards and a passer rating of 116.
Defensively, Tampa Bay is 11th in points allowed. So far, opponents are averaging 20.1 points per game against them on 356.2 yards allowed per contest.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Player Prop
Looking at the rushing yards props for this game, Alvin Kamara has a prop currently sitting at 44.5. The under and over are both paying out at -116.
Across 12 games, Alvin Kamara has 170 rushing attempts and gained 649 yards. Heading into week 17 he is 27th among running backs in yardage. Kamara is facing the league’s 7th-ranked rush defense, which makes me inclined to take the under on his prop of 44.5 rushing yards.
- The Prop: Alvin Kamara Under 44.5 Rushing Yards (-116)
Buccaneers VS. Saints Predictions
Starting as 1.5 point favorites at home, Tampa Bay has seen the lines move in their favor, now sitting at -2.5.
Even though they are up against a Buccaneers team that has won three-straight games, our game projections actually like New Orleans as the 2.5-point road dogs .
The Pick: Saints +2.5 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook