The Bears are all set to face off against the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, Dec 31. This week 17 game is slated to kick off at 1:00 ET and will be shown on CBS. Chicago enters this contest as 3-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 37.5. Can the Falcons come out on top as the favorite? Our Bears vs. Falcons player props and predictions can be found below.
Bears VS. Falcons Odds
- Spread: Bears -3
- Total 37.5
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Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec 31
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago IL
- TV: CBS
Falcons Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five road games, Atlanta has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 16 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Falcons have a straight-up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 3-7.
Bears Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Bears have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Bears have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 17 points per game in this stretch.
- Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Bears have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 against the spread.
Will the Falcons Defense Show Up in Chicago?
So far this season, the Falcons have an overall record of 7-8 and have a below .500 record on the road (2-5). Heading into week 17, the Falcons are 2nd in the NFC-South and 9th in the NFC. The current scoring margin for the Falcons’ is -0.1, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 5-10.
The Falcons are coming off a 29-10 win over the Colts. The Falcons were able to cover the spread vs. Indianapolis, as they went into the game favored by 3. Going into the game vs. Indianapolis, the over/under line was 44.5. With a combined total of 39 points, the under hit in this game.
Versus the Colts, the Falcons finished with 30 rushing attempts, and Bijan Robinson led the way with 72 yards. Meanwhile, Taylor Heinicke had 33 pass attempts, resulting in 229 yards and a passer rating of 99.
So far, the Falcons’ defense has given up an average of 308.4 yards per game and 19.2 points per contest (6th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage of 60.9% and have given up 19 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 15th in the NFL.
Does Chicago Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
Leading up to their matchup with the Falcons, the Bears are 6-9. They currently sit 4th in the NFC-North and are in 12th place in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Bears come in at 7-6-2. Going into week 17, their scoring margin per game is -2.1.
The Bears hosted the Cardinals in their last game, picking up a 27-16 win. As 4.5-point favorites against the Cardinals, the Bears picked up an ATS win. With a set over/under line of 42.5 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 43 points, surpassing the betting line.
The Bears’ offense produced a total of 420 yards against the Cardinals. On third downs, the Bears achieved a conversion rate of 53.3%. Notably, Khalil Herbert led the rushing attack with 112 yards, while Justin Fields passed for 170 yards.
The Chicago defense has 23 takeaways this season, positioning them 4th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 23 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 318.1 yards.
Bears vs. Falcons Player Props
Against Atlanta, Justin Fields’ passing yards prop is 188.5. Currently, the payout for going over this threshold is -117, while it’s -115 for staying under it.
Among quarterbacks, Fields is currently ranked 27th in terms of passing attempts as he enters the game. To date, he has accumulated 2146 yards, completing 60.9% of his passes. Compared to our player projections for this one, this line is set too high. I’d recommend taking the under.
- The Prop: Justin Fields Under 188.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Bears VS. Falcons Predictions
Chicago started as 2.5 point favorites at home, and the lines have since moved in their favor to -3.
The Falcons’ defense is coming off a strong performance, giving up just 262 yards of offense, and should build on this vs. the Bears. Despite entering as 3-point underdogs on the road, I like them to cover the spread.
The Pick: Falcons +3 | -111 at Fanduel Sportsbook