For each week of the NFL season, we provide the best Patrick Mahomes prop bets. His next game is Sunday, December 31 against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Best Patrick Mahomes Player Props Bets vs. Bengals
As the Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in a pivotal Week 17 matchup, all eyes will be on Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs’ superstar quarterback, known for his dynamic playmaking ability, will be crucial in determining the outcome of this game. With the Chiefs looking to secure their playoff positioning and bounce back from recent stumbles, Mahomes’ performance against a challenging Bengals defense will be under the microscope.
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Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Passing – Interceptions (-115)
Patrick Mahomes has been a bit interception-prone in recent games, throwing picks in 8 out of his last 10 outings. The statistical research indicates that Mahomes has a season hit percentage of 73.33% for throwing at least one interception per game, and his last 5 games show an even higher trend with an 80% hit rate. Given the pressure of the upcoming game and the Bengals’ ability to challenge quarterbacks, it’s likely that Mahomes may take risks that could lead to turnovers. The Bengals’ defense, despite their overall struggles, has playmakers in the secondary who can capitalize on any errant throws, making the over on interceptions a compelling pick.
Patrick Mahomes Over 20.5 Rushing – Yards (-115)
Mahomes has been effective on the ground this season, surpassing the 20.5 rushing yards line in 6 out of his last 10 games, which aligns with a 60% hit rate. His mobility is a key part of his game, and he often uses his legs to extend plays, especially when facing a strong pass rush like Cincinnati’s. The statistical research shows a season mean of 25.8 rushing yards per game, indicating that Mahomes consistently gains yardage on the ground. With the Bengals focusing on limiting Mahomes’ aerial attack, there will likely be opportunities for him to scramble and accumulate rushing yards, making the over on this prop a solid choice.
All Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Picks for Sunday, Dec 31
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection | Our Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | Interceptions | 0.5 | 8/10 | -115 | -115 | 1.0 | 1.10 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Longest Pass | 35.5 | 6/10 | -120 | -110 | 35.6 | 36.52 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing Touchdowns | 1.5 | 5/10 | -195 | +150 | 1.6 | 1.31 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing Yards | 263.5 | 5/10 | -115 | -115 | 265.1 | 265.87 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing And Russhing Yards | 289.5 | 4/10 | -115 | -115 | 288.4 | 288.92 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Rushing Yards | 20.5 | 6/10 | -115 | -115 | 23.3 | 23.92 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Longest Rushing Attempt | 10.5 | 5/10 | -130 | +100 | 11.3 | 10.40 | Under |
Patrick Mahomes Stats for the 2023/24 NFL Season
- Passing Interceptions Per Game
- Season: 0.93
- Home: 0.75
- Rushing Yards Per Game
- Season: 25.8
- Home: 32.0
- Passing Touchdowns Per Game
- Season: 1.73
- Home: 2.0
- Passing Yards Per Game
- Season: 262.53
- Home: 262.0
- Longest Rushing Attempt Per Game
- Season: 12.2
- Home: 15.0
- Passing Longest Pass Per Game
- Season: 36.53
- Home: 34.25
- Passing and Rushing Yards Per Game
- Season: 288.33
- Home: 294.0
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 31
- Time: 04:25 PM
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
- TV: CBS