The Nuggets host the Dallas Mavericks on Monday, Dec 18. Today’s game is set for 9:00 ET and will be shown on NBA. Denver comes into this game as 7.5-point favorites with the total set at 238.5. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Mavericks predictions.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -7.5
- Total 238.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Dec 18
- Time: 9:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: NBA
Mavericks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Although Dallas has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 118 points per game in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Do the Mavericks Have What it Takes on the Road?
Across their last ten games, the Mavericks are 6-4 and come into today’s game with an overall record of 16-9. When playing on the road, the Mavericks are 9-4 compared to 7-5 at home this season.
Dallas’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 131 points against the Trail Blazers. They had an overall field goal percentage of 49.5% and made 19/21 free throws. In terms of offense, the Mavericks have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 15th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 14th in percentage and 1st in three-pointers made.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 117.1 points per game (22nd).
When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.6 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 22nd in blocked shots at 4.6 per game.
Will Denver Win at Home?
With an overall record of 17-10, the Nuggets have gone 2-1 over their last three games. They are currently 4th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest division.
The Nuggets’ offense finished with 117 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 114.7 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Nikola Jokic, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 27, while Michael Porter Jr. also carries a PPG average of 16.8 into the game.
So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 6th in the league at 110.8 points per contest.
In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.2% while allowing 35.8% from downtown.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 34.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -125 while the under is at -109. Our model predicts that Luka Doncic will finish with 31 points, 10 rebounds, and 9. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 34.5.
- The Prop: Luka Doncic Under 34.5 Points (-109)
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7.5, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 238.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Nuggets to score a combined 221 points. We recommend betting on the under.
The Pick: Mavericks +7.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook