Heat vs. Nets Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, Nov 16

Oct 9, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Brooklyn Nets guard Ben Simmons (10) moves the ball up court against the Los Angeles Lakers during the first half at T-Mobile Arena.
Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Heat host the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday, Nov 16. Today’s game is set for 7:30 ET and will be shown on NBA. Miami comes into this game as 4-point favorites with the total set at 217. Keep reading to get our Heat vs. Nets predictions.

Heat vs. Nets Odds

  • Spread: Heat -4
  • Total 217

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Nov 16
  • Time: 7:30 ET
  • Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
  • TV: NBA

Nets Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Nets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Brooklyn has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 115 points per game while allowing 115. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Nets have a strong record vs the spread going 3-1-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.

Heat Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Miami has an ATS record of 2-0-1 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 3-6-1.

Will the Nets Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Coming into today’s matchup, the Nets will be looking to build on their current two game winning streak and their overall record is currently 6-5. In their 11 games, the Nets have gone 5-4 against Eastern Conference teams and 1-1 in non-conference action.

Brooklyn’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 124 points vs. the Magic. Overall, they hit 54.1% of their shots from the field and went 13/20 from the free-throw line. Leading the Nets in scoring vs. the Magic was Spencer Dinwiddie with his 29 points. Mikal Bridges also added 21 points for the Nets.

Coming into the game, the Nets’ defense is giving up an average of 112.5 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 54.5% of their games.

Brooklyn’s defense is currently forcing 12.8 turnovers per game, which is 8th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 15th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.2 rejections per game.

Will the Heat Make it Happen at Home?

Facing the Nets today, the Heat look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 7-4. Currently, the team is 4th in the Eastern Conference as well as 1st in the Southeast division.

In their previous game, the Heat’s offense finished with 111 points, which is right in line with their current average of 109.6 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 23 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyler Herro also maintains a PPG average of 22.9 heading into game.

Miami’s defense has been playing well, ranking 7th in the NBA with 109.8 points allowed per game.

Opponents are hitting 53.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.5% of their three-point attempts.

Heat vs. Nets Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Mikal Bridges and his points prop of 23.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -125. In this game against the Heat, we suggest betting on the under for Mikal Bridges and his points prop set at 23.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 20.

  • The Prop: Mikal Bridges Under 23.5 Points (-125)

Heat vs. Nets Predictions

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Heat vs. Heat game, our recommendation is to take the Nets at +4. Despite our model showing the Heat winning 111-108, we like Nets as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 217 and our model has the Nets and Heat finishing with a combined 219 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Nets +4 | at Fanduel Sportsbook