The Heat are set to face the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday, Nov 6. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET while airing on NBA. Miami enters this game as 1-point favorites with the total set at 222.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Heat vs Lakers player props and predictions below.
Heat vs. Lakers Odds
- Spread: Heat -1
- Total 222.5
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Nov 6
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: NBA
Lakers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 111 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Lakers have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 103 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- In their last five contests as the favorite, Miami has a poor record vs the spread going 0-5. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.
Can Los Angeles Lock in a Road Win?
Bringing in an overall record of 3-3 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games, the Lakers will face the Heat. Currently ranked 7th in the Western Conference, the team is also 3rd in the Pacific division.
This year, the Los Angeles Lakers’ offense has a field goal percentage of 47.2%, placing them 8th in the NBA. They also boast an average of 25.3 assists per game, ranking them 5th in the league. Furthermore, the Lakers score an average of 115.2 points per game, positioning them 4th in the NBA.
So far this season, the Los Angeles Lakers have a 56% two point field goal percentage, which ranks 12th in the NBA. They have attempted an average of 87.5 field goals per game, placing them 13th in the league. Furthermore, the Lakers have made an average of 9.5 three pointers per game, ranking them 24th in the NBA.
Los Angeles’ defense comes into the game with a 15th ranked effective field goal percentage allowed of 52.8%, a 21st ranked points allowed per game of 115.7, and a 16th ranked blocked shots per game of 7.3 in the 2023-2024 season.
Can the Heat Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
So far this season, the Heat have a record of just 2-4, as they look to pick up a win over the Lakers. On the road, the Heat have gone 0-3 so far this season compared to their 2-1 mark at home.
Miami’s offense is ranked 19th in the NBA, averaging 19.2 free throw attempts per game this season. Furthermore, they rank 29th in possessions per game with an average of 98.7, and 25th in points per game with an average of 107.3.
Offensively, Miami ranks 25th in three point percentage, 10th in three point attempts per game, and 25th in effective field goal percentage for the 2023-2024 season. They have a three point percentage of 39%, with 32 three point attempts per game, and an effective field goal percentage of 52%.
On defense, Miami’s average of 112 points allowed per game ranks 16th in the league. They also rank 25th in opponents’ shooting percentage from the field at 45.3% and 27th in opponents’ shooting percentage from three-point range at 39%. Additionally, the Heat’s average of 3 blocked shots per game ranks 30th in the league, while their average of 8.5 steals per game ranks 6th in the league.
Heat vs. Lakers Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is LeBron James and his points prop of 22.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -123 while the under is at -111. For his matchup against the Heat, we recommend taking the under on LeBron James and his prop bet of 22.5 points. According to our player projection model, he is expected to fall short of his prop, with a projection of 22.
The Prop: LeBron James Under 22.5 Points (-111)
More NBA Player Props
Heat vs. Lakers Predictions
Coming in as the underdogs at +1, we have the Lakers as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 222.5 and given that our model is projecting 216 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Lakers +1