The Tampa Bay Lightning (5-3-3) are set to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (5-4-2) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET. With both teams hovering near the playoff bar, this game could be a turning point in their season. The Lightning, coming off a victory against the Ottawa Senators, are looking to maintain their momentum, while the Maple Leafs aim to bounce back from a four-game losing streak.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds Info
Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning +130 (Bet365) / Toronto Maple Leafs -150 (Bet365)
Puck Line: -1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -192 (DraftKings) / Toronto Maple Leafs +160 (DraftKings)
Total: 6.5 – +105 (BetMGM) / -125 (BetMGM)
Game Info
Date: Monday, Nov. 06
Time: 08:00 PM
Location: Scotiabank Arena – Toronto, ON
TV: ESPN+
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends
- This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 7 overs and 4 unders.
- On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 3 overs and 2 unders.
- As the underdog this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 3 overs and 2 unders.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends
- This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 4 overs and 7 unders.
- At home this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 3 overs and 2 unders.
- As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 4 overs and 7 unders.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
The Lightning are coming into this game with a bit of a mixed performance. They managed to secure a 6-4 victory against the Ottawa Senators in their last game, but their overall performance on the road has been less than stellar with a 1-3-1 record for the year away from Amalie Arena. However, they have been delivering plenty of offense to support their fill-in goalies, ranking seventh in the league at 3.64 goals per game. Key players like Nikita Kucherov, who leads the team with 7 goals and 9 assists, will be crucial in this matchup.
On the other hand, the Maple Leafs are on a four-game slide and are looking to get back into the win column. Despite their recent woes, they have some strong offensive options, with Auston Matthews leading the NHL with 11 goals. However, their defense has been struggling, and they are currently ranked 23rd in expected goals share at 46.96%. The Leafs’ goaltending situation also remains in flux, with Joseph Woll giving up nine goals in his last two games.
This game could be a high-scoring affair, with both teams boasting strong offensive capabilities. However, the outcome may hinge on the performance of the goaltenders and the ability of each team’s defense to contain the opposing offense. With the betting line favoring the home side, this game represents a solid value opportunity for bettors.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick
Given the recent performances and offensive capabilities of both the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs, the ‘Over’ seems to be the most likely outcome for this game. The Lightning have been delivering plenty of offense, ranking seventh in the league at 3.64 goals per game. Key players like Nikita Kucherov, who leads the team with 7 goals and 9 assists, have been instrumental in this offensive prowess. On the other hand, the Maple Leafs, despite their recent struggles, have some strong offensive options, with Auston Matthews leading the NHL with 11 goals.
However, both teams have been struggling defensively, which could lead to a high-scoring game. The Leafs’ defense is currently ranked 23rd in expected goals share at 46.96%, and their goaltending situation remains uncertain, with Joseph Woll giving up nine goals in his last two games. Similarly, the Lightning have been relying on fill-in goalies due to the injury of their star goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy. Considering these factors, along with the historic head-to-head data which shows a tendency for high-scoring games between these two teams, the ‘Over’ seems to be the most likely outcome for this game.
The Pick: Over 6.5 -125 (BetMGM)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Picks
Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Stamkos | Points | 0.5 | 8/10 | -245 | +185 | 1.2 | 1.13 |
| Steven Stamkos | Assists | 0.5 | 7/10 | -125 | -105 | 0.7 | 0.80 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Nylander | Shots On Goal | 3.5 | 7/10 | -145 | +114 | 4.6 | 4.56 |
| William Nylander | Assists | 0.5 | 8/10 | -120 | -110 | 0.8 | 0.80 |
| Noah Gregor | Shots On Goal | 1.5 | 7/10 | -145 | +114 | 2.3 | 2.28 |
| John Tavares | Points | 0.5 | 7/10 | -180 | +140 | 0.9 | 0.86 |