Thunder vs. Warriors Player Props & Predictions – Friday, Nov 3

Nov 1, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Klay Thompson (11) walks on the court before the start of the game against the Sacramento Kings at the Chase Center.
Image Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

The Thunder are gearing up for a showdown against the Golden State Warriors on Friday, Nov 3. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 8:00 ET and will be broadcast on NBCS. Golden State comes into this matchup as 6-point favorites, with the over/under set at 226. Will the Warriors manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Thunder vs. Warriors player props and predictions.

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -6
  • Total 226

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Nov 3
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
  • TV: NBCS

Warriors Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Golden State has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 112 points per game while allowing 107. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • The last ten games that Golden State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 7-3 straight up.

Thunder Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 114 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • Oklahoma City has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.

Will the Golden State Defense Show Up on the Road?

In anticipation of their matchup against the Thunder, the Warriors aim to extend their winning record of 4-1. Presently, the team holds the 2nd position in the Western Conference and leads the Pacific division.

This year’s Golden State offense is ranked 15th in the NBA with a field goal percentage of 46.7%. They are also ranked 20th in the league for attempting 20.0 free throws per game. In terms of scoring, the Warriors rank 9th in the NBA, averaging 112.8 points per game.

So far this season, Golden State ranks 15th in the NBA for their offensive three point percentage of 35.4% and 4th in the league for attempting 38.4 three pointers per game. Additionally, their effective field goal percentage is 54.2%, placing them 11th in the NBA.

Defensively, the Warriors rank 5th in points allowed per game, 8th in steals per game, and 2nd in three-point percentage allowed this season (2023-2024).

Can the Thunder Secure a Win at Home?

In today’s matchup, the Thunder will strive to maintain their winning record as they currently stand at 3-2 after five games played. Notably, the Thunder have displayed better performance on away games, boasting an undefeated 2-0 record, while their home games have yielded a less impressive 1-2 mark.

The Thunder offense is coming into the game, characterized by their 11th rank in field goal percentage at 47.3%, their 8th rank in free throw attempts per game with an average of 24.2 attempts, and their 13th rank in points per game with an average of 111.2 points.

On offense, Oklahoma City comes into the game with a two point field goal percentage of 54.1%, ranking 15th in the NBA. They also average 86.0 field goal attempts per game, ranking 17th in the league. Additionally, the Thunder make 11.6 three pointers per game, ranking 16th in the NBA.

Oklahoma City’s comes into the game with statistics that include an average of 7.4 steals per game, ranking 18th in the NBA, 116.4 points allowed per game, ranking 16th in the NBA, and 25.5 free throw attempts allowed per game, ranking 14th in the NBA.

Thunder vs. Warriors Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Stephen Curry and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -123 while the under is at -111. In this game against the Thunder, we suggest betting on the under for Stephen Curry and his points prop set at 28.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 23.

  • The Prop: Stephen Curry Under 28.5 Points (-111)

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Thunder vs. Warriors Predictions

As the underdogs with a spread of +6, we recommend going with the Thunder on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 226, and our model predicts the Warriors and Thunder to score a combined 213 points. We recommend betting on the under.

The Pick: Thunder +6