The Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons will match up on Sunday, Oct 22. Kickoff for the game is 1:00 ET and will be shown on FOX. Tampa Bay is favored by 2.5 points in this game, and the total is 37.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds
- Spread: Buccaneers -2.5
- Total 37.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Oct 22
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
- TV: FOX
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Falcons Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
- Through their last three road contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 7 points per game while allowing an average of 20. Atlanta posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 0-3 ATS.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Buccaneers have a straight-up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 16 points per game in these contests.
- As the betting favorite, the Buccaneers have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Tampa Bay posted a straight-up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
Can the Falcons Pull Off a Win at Tampa Bay?
Heading into this week 7 NFC-South showdown, the Falcons have played one game in the division and have gone 1-0. Overall, Atlanta is 3-3, putting them 2nd in the NFC-South. On the road, they are 0-2 and 3-1 at home. The current scoring margin for the Falcons’ is -3.5, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 1-5.
This week, the Falcons will look to bounce back from a 24-16 loss to the Commanders. Besides their straight-up loss, the Falcons also failed to cover the spread as 1.5-point favorites. The under bettors were successful in the Falcons’ most recent game, with a combined total of 40 points. The game’s betting line was 42.
Atlanta’s offense produced a total of 402 yards against the Commanders. When it came to third downs, the Falcons had a conversion rate of 33.3%. The leading rusher for the Falcons was Tyler Allgeier with 51 yards, and Desmond Ridder contributed 307 passing yards.
Defensively, Atlanta is 12th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 20 points per game while gaining 278.2 yards per contest.
Can the Buccaneers Lock in a Home Win?
Tampa Bay’s schedule has seen them open up their first five games against other NFC opponents. Going into week 7, they are 3-2 and are 4th in the NFC and 1st in the South. The Buccaneers hold a 3-2 record against the spread. As we approach week 7, their scoring margin stands at +0.4 per game.
In their last game, the Buccaneers played host to the Lions and lost by a score of 20-6. With a 14-point loss, the Buccaneers added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 3-point underdogs prior to the game. The under bettors were successful in the Buccaneers’ most recent game, with a combined total of 26 points. The game’s betting line was 43.
Offensively, Baker Mayfield totaled 206 passing yards with a completion rate of 51%. On the rushing front, the Buccaneers had 16 attempts, gaining 46 yards. The team converted 2 of 12 third-down attempts.
On the defensive side of the ball, Tampa Bay currently ranks 7th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 17.6 points per game while gaining 330.8 yards per contest.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Player Prop
Tyler Allgeier comes in with a rushing yards prop of 36.5 for this week’s game.
This season, Allgeier currently ranks 15th among running backs in rushing attempts with a total of 242 yards. Going into this week’s game, he has an average of 3 yards per carry. Considering Allgeier is facing the league’s 7th-ranked rush defense, I’m going to go with the under on Tyler Allgeier’s prop of 36.5 rushing yards.
The Prop: Tyler Allgeier Under 36.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions
Since the lines were initially posted, Tampa Bay has seen movement from -1.5 point favorites to their current line of -2.5.
The Bucs have a very solid run defense, and that could be the difference in this game. The Falcons love to run the football, and Atlanta QB Desmond Ridder has had some issues when he’s forced into passing situations. The Buccaneers could pin him into that corner on Sunday, which gives them the upper hand in emerging victorious and covering the spread.
The Pick: Buccaneers -2.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook